TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Heat vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,762
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,932

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,762 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Under50c16,459$8,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,260.21,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd12c…f2d4backed Under51c13,604$6,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,889.31947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over51c11,006$5,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,424.672,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over50c5,735$2,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,867.51,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Under49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4501,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5001,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c3,820$1,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,926.569,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over49c3,184$1,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,617.543,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under1c2,716$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.672,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00022845.2%103 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c1,646$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.054,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Over49c1,594$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.8315147%71 W · 80 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x738b…765cbacked Under52c1,410$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.13666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+35.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over50c1,281$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.022,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over51c1,143$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.0765750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under49c900$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44161740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over49c863.24$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.252,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c543.76$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.838,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c533.25$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.415,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over50c531.3$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.6566646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Over49c483.99$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.417960.9%109 W · 70 L+17.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under50c459.57$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.213,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over25c439.49$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.4626638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.671,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over72c346$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.8813464.2%86 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over57c309.41$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.9283039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over43c306.85$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.13,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over47c299.99$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15891148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over44c250.51$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.713,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Under33c208.66$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8614636.3%53 W · 93 L+16.4wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+58.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over48c204.08$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.1263447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0000…03ddbacked Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc794…91b8backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Under52c199.97$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.997341.1%30 W · 43 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf782…6849backed Over49c197.19$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.5713750.4%69 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under51c196.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over74c188.75$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.973,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under52c179.99$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.592,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over51c165.05$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.341,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Over49c155.51$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.3120149.8%100 W · 101 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf73e…43f1backed Over48c141.46$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.5616052.5%84 W · 76 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe33b…6de8backed Under38c127$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.854637%17 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Over48c121.98$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.4354246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Over47c119.1$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.134959.2%29 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+27.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over48c112.85$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.863,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x372d…a119backed Over41c105.11$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.243342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf740…cf50backed Under30c103$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.910034%34 W · 66 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Over47c100.65$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3429352.6%154 W · 139 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f39…28dabacked Under30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011347.8%54 W · 59 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ba3…8cb2backed Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499758.8%57 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c61…4fa6backed Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.157057.1%40 W · 30 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Over53c90$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0942335.9%152 W · 271 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under71c81.31$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7353149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over50c81.04$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5220949.3%103 W · 106 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over49c79.67$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.575,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over49c77.63$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3664844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Under32c66.92$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4124330.5%74 W · 169 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Over39c65.9$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9665542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dec…bd2ebacked Over49c65.51$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.41475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+38.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under50c63.98$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3241649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Under44c57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0817243%74 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed Over48c56$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1214751.7%76 W · 71 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under32c53.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1752230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0852951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Under42c51.39$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6339047.7%186 W · 204 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over37c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.51,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.52,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over49c49$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.991,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Over40c47.31$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3521642.1%91 W · 125 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49be…6f44backed Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.821040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Under51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040960.6%248 W · 161 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over51c36.39$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8319051.6%98 W · 92 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over67c34.57$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.481,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Over49c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3235049.4%173 W · 177 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Under78c29.6$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0938347%180 W · 203 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Over50c29.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4933653.9%181 W · 155 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under56c26.58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7559141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under45c24.89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.24,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Over49c24.67$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5827943%120 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafc2…700bbacked Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8557…4e7abacked Over80c17.03$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.4118957.1%108 W · 81 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.