NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Pelicans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26420bdec997c5b7603080dd0a53c9dbfd6295c7276932992af67bd33ae5333e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Heat, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,194,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,275,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,194,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 861 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8764…604abacked Pelicans | 53c | 258,388$136,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136,945.52 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +14.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +47%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Heat | 47c | 65,360$30,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,640.78 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Heat | 47c | 60,000$28,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,800 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Heat | 48c | 56,413$27,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,334.71 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Pelicans | 52c | 41,800$21,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,736 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pelicans | 52c | 38,241$19,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,829.52 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Pelicans | 52c | 30,500$15,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,964.98 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Pelicans | 4c | 26,275$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.66 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Pelicans | 53c | 25,000$13,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,250 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Pelicans | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Heat | 47c | 24,964$11,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,249.27 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b1…c7e3backed Pelicans | 3c | 24,554$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Heat | 47c | 22,726$10,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,983.65 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Heat | 47c | 20,561$9,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,897.32 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pelicans | 52c | 15,460$7,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,978.19 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Heat | 47c | 15,280$7,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,085.86 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d99…5591backed Pelicans | 52c | 14,854$7,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,672.77 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Heat | 47c | 14,635$6,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,756.55 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Pelicans | 0c | 11,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Heat | 47c | 10,934$5,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,783.14 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pelicans | 21c | 10,262$2,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,196.03 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x306c…51f2backed Pelicans | 0c | 10,025$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d0…a31bbacked Heat | 47c | 10,001$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300.53 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Pelicans | 52c | 10,001$5,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,242.66 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Heat | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Heat | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…9550backed Pelicans | 48c | 8,692$4,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,184.07 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…9e1cbacked Pelicans | 4c | 8,650$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Pelicans | 47c | 8,302$3,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,903.48 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Heat | 48c | 8,287$3,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,317.83 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Heat | 65c | 8,037$5,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,824.28 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Heat | 47c | 7,896$3,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,184.74 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Pelicans | 53c | 6,499$3,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,444.73 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Heat | 47c | 6,383$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,382.98 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Pelicans | 50c | 6,060$3,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,030 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Pelicans | 12c | 5,151$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.12 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Heat | 47c | 5,106$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,706.38 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Pelicans | 45c | 5,027$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259.04 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Heat | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…19cfbacked Heat | 47c | 4,749$2,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,516.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdab7…24ecbacked Heat | 73c | 4,541$3,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.35 | 160 | 65%104 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Heat | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.32 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Pelicans | 1c | 4,062$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Pelicans | 52c | 4,040$2,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080.97 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Heat | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Heat | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pelicans | 21c | 4,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…050cbacked Heat | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Heat | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.99 | 386 | 49.7%192 W · 194 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Pelicans | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.95 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…6099backed Heat | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans | 39c | 3,984$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.28 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Pelicans | 1c | 3,904$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8063…94f1backed Pelicans | 52c | 3,800$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x808c…b77ebacked Heat | 47c | 3,526$1,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.67 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pelicans | 51c | 3,467$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.28 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Heat | 61c | 3,220$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.95 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Heat | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.49 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pelicans | 19c | 3,153$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.31 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Pelicans | 45c | 3,016$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.2 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…d7e5backed Pelicans | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…9c19backed Heat | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Heat | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Pelicans | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Pelicans | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.96 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Pelicans | 27c | 2,669$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.77 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Heat | 48c | 2,650$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.97 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Pelicans | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 91 | 17.6%16 W · 75 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pelicans | 29c | 2,474$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.93 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3860…0efcbacked Heat | 47c | 2,449$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.2 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Heat | 58c | 2,371$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.48 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Heat | 49c | 2,227$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.85 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…a86bbacked Pelicans | 40c | 2,173$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.85 | 143 | 44.8%64 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Heat | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Pelicans | 51c | 2,050$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.5 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4afd…4d18backed Pelicans | 52c | 2,031$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.26 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Heat | 47c | 2,019$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.21 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc93…a69ebacked Heat | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c8…03bebacked Pelicans | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.97 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heat | 53c | 1,951$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.37 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pelicans | 12c | 1,938$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.26 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab85…81e6backed Heat | 47c | 1,771$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.48 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pelicans | 52c | 1,670$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.34 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cca…6143backed Heat | 61c | 1,633$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.33 | 415 | 50.1%208 W · 207 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…8275backed Pelicans | 8c | 1,630$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89cf…5f47backed Heat | 48c | 1,585$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.42 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0b…44fdbacked Pelicans | 1c | 1,560$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Heat | 77c | 1,552$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.32 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f70…a7efbacked Pelicans | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Pelicans | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0481…1c20backed Heat | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Heat | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.99 | 194 | 41.2%80 W · 114 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pelicans | 42c | 1,479$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.56 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3934…8352backed Heat | 48c | 1,459$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.62 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Pelicans | 1c | 1,453$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Pelicans | 52c | 1,444$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.63 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c03…1c9fbacked Pelicans | 38c | 1,437$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.13 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7c…0df6backed Heat | 72c | 1,423$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Heat | 49c | 1,420$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.54 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Pelicans | 52c | 1,408$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.16 | 314 | 55.1%173 W · 141 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Pelicansthis page
- Andrew Wiggins: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Heat vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Heat vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Heat vs. Pelicans: O/U 229.5Over won
- Heat vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5Over won
- Heat vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5Over won
- Heat vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5Over won
- Simone Fontecchio: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)Heat won
- Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)Heat won
- Yves Missi: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.