TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x89cf…5f47

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
164
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 59 out of 100; worst NBA at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT6036.7%22 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$226
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.45
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$5,885Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,884.99
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,906Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$3,377.75
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$5,204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,204
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,612Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,612
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$633Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$633
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$697Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$427.19
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$612Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$612
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$994Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$917.54
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$312
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$2,441.18
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$917Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$917
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$517Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$517
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$318.18
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$930Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,091.74
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.69
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$199
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$754.39
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,204Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,304.51
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$385
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$524
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,835Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$903.81
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,900.17
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$526.67
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$282
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$582Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$910.31
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,965Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$1,177.41
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,103
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$264
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$136
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$177
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$288
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 3 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$87
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$589Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+118.6%+$698.35
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$543Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+63.9%+$347.16
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,735Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$1,676.13
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$306
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-43.2%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$990
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$981Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$980.69
Heat vs. Pelicansbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$761Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+108.3%+$824.42
Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$732Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$732
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$372
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Hornets vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$800
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$93
76ers vs. Warriorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+170.3%+$510.81
Nuggets vs. Pistonsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$516Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+40.8%+$210.76
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$184
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$536Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$288.62
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$840
Raptors vs. Magicbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+92.3%+$230.77
All 17 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Golden Knightsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+58.7%+$469.84
Predators vs. Capitalsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Islanders vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Hurricanes vs. Rangersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+51.5%+$412.12
Bruins vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+66.7%+$166.67
Canadiens vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Sabres vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+58.7%+$352.38
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+75.4%+$399.82
Maple Leafs vs. Flamesbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$302.77
Predators vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+81.8%+$274.09
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick43cpaid+57.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$397.67
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$397.84
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$699.8
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+138.1%+$207.14
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+112.8%+$169.15
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+53.8%+$538.46
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+78.6%+$235.71
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+92.3%+$300.92
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+270.4%+$1,427.39
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick57cpaid-42.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+23.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+36.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+97%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,625Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$764.71
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$974Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$765.29
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+65.1%+$976.69
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$887Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$887.1
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$239
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$563.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$701Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+91.9%+$644.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kocaelispor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+90.3%+$196.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$2,415Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$2,415.46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.