Serie A · resolved market
AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6dd06f4b538f43a0be8d6dd775b960eaf0370305e79d3cb5455f72cdca36beb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,596
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,596 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea32…8870backed Under | 56c | 16,000$8,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,039.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 14,384$6,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,288.71 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 56c | 6,964$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,064.29 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 6,781$3,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,874.75 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Over | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed07…886abacked Under | 56c | 4,800$2,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,111.96 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…582dbacked Over | 44c | 4,550$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 47c | 3,671$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.9 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e0…6cadbacked Under | 62c | 2,903$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 45c | 2,829$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.23 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 60c | 2,491$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.56 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Under | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 44c | 1,717$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.38 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 44c | 1,675$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.88 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 55c | 1,675$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.65 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 44c | 1,538$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.32 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Under | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…ddc0backed Under | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a6…a6d3backed Under | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 56c | 1,250$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.99 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f0…e0a7backed Under | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.63 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 44c | 958.75$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.85 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Over | 40c | 958$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.17 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +16.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 56c | 923$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.12 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Over | 44c | 900$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 53c | 892.04$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.47 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 44c | 843.18$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 57c | 843$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.49 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…1e50backed Over | 45c | 720$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb6…a888backed Under | 56c | 710$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…9399backed Under | 56c | 700$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf823…2b46backed Over | 45c | 690$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Over | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948c…e8dcbacked Over | 46c | 650$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 45c | 610$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.03 | 149 | 36.2%54 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad9…b78bbacked Under | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…fa34backed Over | 53c | 568.49$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 31c | 563.13$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.1 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5066…1435backed Under | 55c | 550$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Under | 57c | 529.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.82 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d2…fd96backed Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 55c | 488$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.6 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Under | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe760…973abacked Under | 57c | 450$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 436.47$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.39 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Under | 58c | 421.6$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.69 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 39c | 394$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.79 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac8…afb2backed Over | 44c | 359.14$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 41c | 339.15$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf2…45d2backed Under | 57c | 325$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4c…a700backed Over | 45c | 324.44$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89cf…5f47backed Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 44c | 284.09$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 15c | 281.89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Under | 57c | 280.7$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Over | 43c | 278.6$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Over | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 56c | 267.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.85 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Over | 63c | 250$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.27 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab70…0322backed Over | 45c | 222.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7a…737bbacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6abb…356cbacked Over | 45c | 219.96$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…50c3backed Under | 56c | 213.03$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 48c | 201.44$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.69 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 35c | 188.89$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…7505backed Over | 40c | 184.8$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.92 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Over | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b1…be45backed Under | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf236…6d09backed Under | 57c | 159$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 39c | 153$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.27 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 51c | 149.03$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.12 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf717…7323backed Under | 57c | 148$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…a196backed Under | 57c | 141$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 35c | 140$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d44…3838backed Under | 57c | 138$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…4134backed Under | 57c | 135$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…83abbacked Under | 57c | 130$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9184…6048backed Under | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 69c | 126.45$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.78 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 50c | 124.44$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.56 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 57c | 119.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 37c | 116$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…07d4backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 57c | 110$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc34…799dbacked Over | 46c | 108.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5this page
- AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)AS Roma won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.