TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdc34…799d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 60 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT2744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.86
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.24
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$11.33
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.6
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.45
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.74
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.37
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.07
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.71
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$24.88
Panama vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.63
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$21.27
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.33
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.42
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.82
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.62
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.73
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.54
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
England vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.05
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+126.7%+$13.85
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$12.57
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
United States vs. Germany: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.64
Slovakia vs. Montenegro: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.95
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50.18
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50.05
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+100%+$90
Sunderland AFC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+300%+$90
Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.13
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25.6
Arsenal FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$44.57
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$39.27
Leeds United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+257.1%+$128.57
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$17.8
Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
Fulham FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$54
West Ham United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+88.7%+$30.91
Burnley FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+117.4%+$18.36
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$13.76
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$11.76
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.83
All 19 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+31%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+65.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST6100%6 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+90.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-73%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-49%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$21.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$50.78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.