TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Pisa SC vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,027
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,915

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,027 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e02…a820backed Under55c16,399$9,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,019.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0f9…5f83backed Over45c16,040$7,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,821.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under57c12,038$6,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,902.792,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over45c9,419$4,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,180.649350.5%47 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under55c6,364$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,500.2640447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under55c6,207$3,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,384.9598544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Over45c4,403$1,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,438.795052%26 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over51c4,101$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,020.959054.4%49 W · 41 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under54c3,695$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.0493252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6203948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Under56c2,898$1,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,636.129440.4%38 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under55c2,545$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4001533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over45c2,500$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3753046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over45c1,974$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.0116046.3%74 W · 86 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x78bf…7300backed Under2c1,669$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.691118.2%2 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick2cpaid+1,048.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x05ba…ca40backed Over45c1,578$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under61c1,160$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.441,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.3621650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46da…724ebacked Under56c1,130$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over42c1,109$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.193565.7%23 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Over47c1,083$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.032231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-33.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc9…18c4backed Over45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under13c901$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.9946742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over31c805$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.453724.3%9 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under55c743.3$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.5140549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over46c652.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.041346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Over27c555.56$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.56771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.42per pick30cpaid+123.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed Under4c480$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2468.7%4 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick10cpaid+126%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under53c459.59$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.7349850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1193…bbc7backed Under56c446.43$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Under57c410.96$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.25520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-66.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3004247.6%20 W · 22 L+7.8wins+0.19per pick29cpaid+82.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over50c396.42$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.4211161.3%68 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over45c385.71$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.523353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3de…3842backed Over39c376.31$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.55333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-14.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Over46c369.57$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.573638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x044a…f114backed Over45c350$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+183.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over40c349.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2102290.9%20 W · 2 L+5.3wins+0.24per pick67cpaid+39.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x4de1…22a0backed Under10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301625%4 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+380%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x12e8…2cecbacked Under10c299.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301926.3%5 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick9cpaid+454.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under51c269.18$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.286744.8%30 W · 37 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over45c266.67$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.678744.8%39 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7839…54cbbacked Over45c264.98$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.742245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1243…2a64backed Over41c251.84$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.544348.8%21 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under55c246.63$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.6328931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc98c…6596backed Over31c225.81$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+63.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Under53c223$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.193426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2211429.8%34 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.224845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over46c222$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.9214549.7%72 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.772958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over35c209.03$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.8718055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6771…b783backed Over45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick68cpaid+35.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over50c192.98$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.499937.4%37 W · 62 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Under53c189.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under55c181.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9933144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Over39c175.55$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.092748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.413847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x037f…e61cbacked Under10c169.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfa6…4eb6backed Over47c161.95$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.53863.2%24 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.252352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb838…cf88backed Over23c148.91$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Under55c145.45$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Under53c138$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.143828.9%11 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over17c135.29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.298242.7%35 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Over30c133.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.336850%34 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over45c132.18$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.711856.8%67 W · 51 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x011b…fcc3backed Under56c125$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76ef…561cbacked Over41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.953100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+78.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over45c116$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.86937.7%26 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under49c115$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3516851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1119436.1%70 W · 124 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20dc…f74cbacked Over46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.72927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.044551.1%23 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0417958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496950.7%35 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Over45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556350.8%32 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5526747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545339.6%21 W · 32 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Over49c98.76$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.493745.9%17 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe350…61f0backed Over45c98.01$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.911080%8 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+80.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under54c97.9$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.821251.9%110 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under49c90$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.111655.2%64 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under49c90$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.112253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Over45c88.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8912946.5%60 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb985…cf92backed Over40c87.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.51957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Under50c86.09$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.055836.2%21 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over46c85.14$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.236956.5%39 W · 30 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under56c83.75$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.119750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ba…960fbacked Under51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404463.6%28 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under60c76.53$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.922737%10 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked Over54c74.98$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.491060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f3…db3dbacked Over50c72.28$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.14560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over43c71.19$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5215847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over46c67.02$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.196347.6%30 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over45c64$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.228458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb7b…64e7backed Over45c62.98$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91b5…4a34backed Under38c62.75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.07560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1842…b628backed Under79c62$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.982268.2%15 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.