TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Pisa SC vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,918
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,862

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,918 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c12,554$4,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,872.152,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over54c5,494$2,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,527.247358.9%43 W · 30 L+7.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8212…6677backed Over71c2,817$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under29c2,806$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.8898544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under37c2,262$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.4893252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5905…a34cbacked Over61c1,800$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.981070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3060…c709backed Over72c1,398$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.99771.4%5 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick71cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Under40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-60.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Over73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2702544%11 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Under26c935.86$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.449440.4%38 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over70c900$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27011268.8%77 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Over51c887.4$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.831250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over69c831$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.7746742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under28c758.24$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.3140447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Over57c701.75$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.759046.7%42 W · 48 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over62c659.95$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.082290.9%20 W · 2 L+5.3wins+0.24per pick67cpaid+39.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c613.26$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.6334643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under28c597.38$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.5728931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Over55c502.46$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.46771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.42per pick30cpaid+123.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12531441.4%130 W · 184 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17515450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Under24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-33.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over66c454$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.363724.3%9 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over69c403.24$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.418957.3%51 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under29c344.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Over74c343.14$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.221662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+27.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1eca…576bbacked Over61c320$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.3666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over66c320$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.411161.3%68 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6915459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15015042%63 W · 87 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4de1…22a0backed Under10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301625%4 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+380%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7845547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5b8…99f3backed Under10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick8cpaid+275%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12e8…2cecbacked Under10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301926.3%5 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick9cpaid+454.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x28c8…aaccbacked Over72c280$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.911376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfa6…4eb6backed Over70c214.2$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.263863.2%24 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004247.6%20 W · 22 L+7.8wins+0.19per pick29cpaid+82.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Over75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5013553.3%72 W · 63 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefef…cd06backed Over68c170$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbaa…a58abacked Over77c166.06$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.31955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under47c152$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.443271.9%23 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+27%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under9c145.58$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1331051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under30c143.34$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.441,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.867661.8%47 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under28c139.25$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9936630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over72c139.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0317958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8651…2465backed Over74c133.78$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.782100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Under31c129.68$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405532.7%18 W · 37 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd5…6428backed Under39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-57.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over64c125$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4518055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6741…e0f9backed Under34c115.32$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.01333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Over72c113.66$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.49576.8%73 W · 22 L+20.8wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+49.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over65c111.95$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.189440.4%38 W · 56 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee8f…9f44backed Over72c111.5$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.222871.4%20 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc1d0…529cbacked Over72c107.93$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.222100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x649a…02afbacked Over69c105$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.11978.9%15 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick72cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over48c105$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.63243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe40f…351dbacked Over68c102.93$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8153…c439backed Under26c101.19$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3130%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over68c100.4$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3891043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2626747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Under26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4034553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked Over75c90.9$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.725959.3%35 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over69c89.94$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.187462.2%46 W · 28 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x516a…e1b2backed Over56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.29580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe68d…a292backed Over72c81.81$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.912171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under29c80$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.246047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e9c…e966backed Over57c77.67$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.41421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-58.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf588…5712backed Over63c74.11$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.421190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick70cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x91a2…72e6backed Over76c72.98$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb779…ab22backed Over72c69.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.58966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdeb4…9854backed Under31c63.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d43…cecdbacked Over69c56$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under29c55.74$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1665254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9720…798abacked Over71c55$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.951764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c4…359ebacked Over63c53$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.611978.9%15 W · 4 L+6.4wins+0.33per pick46cpaid+105.7%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xec3a…58b0backed Over74c53$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over53c50.94$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.948242.7%35 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec3…760ebacked Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253551.4%18 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under29c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4521251.9%110 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd11…79a5backed Over67c49.98$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.493148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over64c48.12$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.126972.5%50 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.085448.1%26 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed Over70c45$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.51872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c49…1699backed Over71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x780a…1cd6backed Under31c41.78$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82ed…a228backed Over71c38.13$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.13666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under27c37.65$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.324955%137 W · 112 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacd8…6633backed Over54c37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.02616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-69.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fa3…ea8dbacked Over72c36.14$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.143070%21 W · 9 L+5.8wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+40.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over71c35.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2110566.7%70 W · 35 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd16…07bbbacked Over60c35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.051553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over59c33.94$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.948158%47 W · 34 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbcd6…a082backed Over71c30.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.992466.7%16 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over70c30.8$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2413350.4%67 W · 66 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over66c29.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1211144.1%49 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedc6…05dfbacked Under35c29.14$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-37.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27e1…704bbacked Over70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.574100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+77.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over75c28.46$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1219542.6%83 W · 112 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.