TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6741…e0f9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
127
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Middle East, grading 64 out of 100 (+0.13 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 64 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST4454.5%24 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.06
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$88.08
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$88
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+88.7%+$88.68
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+38.9%+$51.72
LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+40.8%+$14.5
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+29.9%+$75.69
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 4 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+40.8%+$34.72
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+35.1%+$70.5
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+87.5%+$87.5
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$150
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+35.5%+$73.1
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$36.09
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+53.8%+$28
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+33.3%+$19
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+203%+$105.58
LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$55
LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+113.3%+$279.77
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+170.3%+$93.65
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$35
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$35
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT2450%12 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Playoffsbacked largadosypelados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.68
Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yawara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs BESTIA (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$102.55
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs BESTIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+143.9%+$71.95
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs ARCRED (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+28.7%+$37.36
Counter-Strike: Players vs METANOIAGG (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Group Stagebacked Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Sharks (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup 1 Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+51.8%+$92.81
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$179.51
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+38.9%+$24.89
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$385.82
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+30.1%+$61.41
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+85.2%+$28.11
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+45%+$67.43
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+38.2%+$79.66
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+193.3%+$96.67
Counter-Strike: Time Waves vs BBBMBCBS (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Group Abacked Time Waves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+49.3%+$63.88
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+66.7%+$76.21
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Game Hunters (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Playoffsbacked Fluxo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$211.47
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+87.5%+$14.1
All 24 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+4.8wins+0.40per pick35cpaid+135.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+100%+$400
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 50% in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+100.8%+$44.26
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+150%+$68.89
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+122.2%+$122.22
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$120
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+163.2%+$322.11
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+376.2%+$158
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+37%+$51.49
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+809.1%+$202.27
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$30
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+81.8%+$45
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+44.9%+$207.42
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+85.2%+$68.15
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+85.2%+$205.32
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$368.55
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+81.8%+$114.55
Dota 2: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$39.4
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Heroic (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+107.6%+$62.05
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+35.1%+$34.41
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+73.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+120.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Genoa CFC vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+56.3%+$28.13
Pisa SC vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$39.01
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$675Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+69.6%+$469.78
Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$83.82
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: sleepers vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffsbacked Shopify Rebellion Black · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+72.4%+$66.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-02-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$82.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.