Serie A · resolved market
Genoa CFC vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f21e8afdcc4c303870e2f29d1f9456fe574c4ed5732e39ed7713ec9e24af95d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,644
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,644 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 4,658$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.43 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 32c | 4,299$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.72 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21e8…b85ebacked Over | 69c | 2,899$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.55 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Over | 69c | 1,450$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.38 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 68c | 962.18$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.18 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 32c | 800.36$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.31 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Over | 69c | 582.32$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.32 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 68c | 448.54$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.53 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 63c | 385.25$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.54 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 68c | 367.65$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 112 | 68.8%77 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 32c | 335.4$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.33 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 68c | 314$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.48 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Over | 66c | 254.55$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.55 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 67c | 181.25$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.03 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19b…1613backed Over | 68c | 176.66$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6741…e0f9backed Under | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed Under | 34c | 126$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 36c | 109.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe579…ba5ebacked Over | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 31c | 79.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 22c | 79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 67c | 73.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 70cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 78c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked Under | 34c | 68.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 32c | 56.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 31c | 51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 32c | 48.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 32c | 46.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05bb…1879backed Over | 69c | 42.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe24…b0acbacked Under | 34c | 32.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 33c | 31.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Over | 66c | 31.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 69c | 30.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 67c | 29.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…68c1backed Over | 67c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 66c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Over | 69c | 18.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 71c | 15.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +6.4wins | +0.33per pick | 46cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Genoa CFC vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Genoa CFC vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Genoa CFC vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. Torino FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.