TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Genoa CFC vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,437
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,330

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,437 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over42c7,868$3,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,530.129054.4%49 W · 41 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c6,183$3,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,450.692,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Under69c5,844$4,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,015.264837.5%18 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over40c3,026$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,826.1121650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over41c3,000$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,77020544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under58c3,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,739.976839.7%27 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under58c2,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1604748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Under52c1,914$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-66.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under58c1,904$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.9998544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c1,815$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.971,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Over42c1,811$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.241250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over61c1,398$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.2212731.5%40 W · 87 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over77c1,295$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.8510361.2%63 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x548c…9d1fbacked Over41c1,250$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+45%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x90a1…73d6backed Under61c1,228$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.31837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66e1…0f14backed Over41c1,200$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+46%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over44c1,148$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.323860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+29.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over41c800$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4725530.9%17 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under49c714.29$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35017744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under59c677.97$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008757.5%50 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x117a…a264backed Over65c617.15$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.651872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+23.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under52c609.32$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.5591043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over42c600$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3487749.4%38 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under58c561.85$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.7340549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Over72c517.96$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.975967.8%40 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Under30c502.17$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.877025.7%18 W · 52 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-41.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over40c499.96$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.7324953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Over41c486.95$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.39046.7%42 W · 48 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under61c477.55$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.1446742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under57c465.35$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.6133148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6376…c865backed Under70c436.76$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over30c418.1$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.149850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over68c403.09$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.997552%39 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over41c400$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23645547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2109…55bfbacked Over48c399.98$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.992466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over41c395.22$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.1826040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over37c385.11$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.593252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over30c383$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.116842.9%72 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over48c374.56$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.563033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over41c319.02$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.0213946%64 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x76ca…6a3abacked Over42c285.71$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.711154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+43.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2713142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over57c258.67$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.677954.4%43 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Over41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.97538.7%29 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Under24c238.37$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.219440.4%38 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under50c230.56$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.3314845.3%67 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Under56c220$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.342650%13 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68ff…997ebacked Over40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201625%4 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-35.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed Under61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1221668.8%11 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick69cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Over39c186.91$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.012133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Over42c184.6$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.073638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over40c179.91$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.959045.6%41 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over42c177$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.665740.4%23 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Under62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006829.4%20 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick34cpaid0%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over38c156.29$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.940447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over39c153.85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.855147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over36c150$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.4818858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over35c150$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.59440.4%38 W · 56 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa686…19e0backed Over42c150$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872450%12 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+41.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over34c148.87$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8718055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9515259.9%91 W · 61 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9533144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.054936.7%18 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf035…d35fbacked Over42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.051266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over41c109$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.3137250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under61c107.77$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.766245.2%28 W · 34 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Over39c104$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.449456.4%53 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6313826.1%36 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5826747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Over42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under59c97.21$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.354472.7%32 W · 12 L+7.9wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+32%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over48c88.16$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2438739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe5e8…8745backed Over57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.72475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+38.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86a8…d0e7backed Under59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over41c81$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7911349.6%56 W · 57 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Over42c79.71$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.233056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f33…0d47backed Over54c75.2$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over35c71.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0115847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over53c66.04$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0434553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over41c66$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.946744.8%30 W · 37 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under56c61.75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.639750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Over55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.26959.4%41 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under35c60$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.336852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Over53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.67240.3%29 W · 43 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa6c…a67dbacked Under54c55.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.411764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over78c53.85$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.857950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2916251.2%83 W · 79 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0e9…5112backed Over39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.52445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3513648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed92…fbf2backed Over40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a6f…170dbacked Under30c49.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.92425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-67.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1aa…071abacked Over41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.783050%15 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a47…cfbbbacked Over42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.622055%11 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x157a…e4a3backed Over42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.629851%50 W · 48 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Over42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.624963.3%31 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c9f…d2d5backed Over35c47.56$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.84633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad53…03c7backed Over78c46.97$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6b0…2fcdbacked Over70c46.07$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…b894backed Over77c44.04$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.134856.3%27 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Under51c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.415041.3%62 W · 88 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.