Serie A · resolved market
Genoa CFC vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x166b9d95c6d01912f2fa9dc61a60800df2a53408f7036fd6eed705dcd24cf966
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,565
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,565 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Under | 59c | 2,684$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.16 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 28c | 1,976$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.64 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…a813backed Under | 79c | 1,685$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c6…6d67backed Under | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 28c | 627.09$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.3 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 80c | 455.59$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.97 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 26c | 383$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 30c | 369$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.7 | 72 | 20.8%15 W · 57 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Over | 20c | 360$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 20c | 356.57$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.81 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 29c | 295.26$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.12 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 22c | 272.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Under | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 27c | 252.09$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.3 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa686…19e0backed Over | 21c | 250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 20c | 249.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3472…3e12backed Over | 43c | 248.3$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Over | 27c | 206.04$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Under | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 43c | 189.61$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 17c | 171$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Under | 60c | 167.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Under | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…878cbacked Under | 80c | 121.62$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 24c | 120$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +14.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 42c | 115.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 43c | 93.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 24c | 90$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Under | 68c | 88.76$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 76c | 82.22$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 19c | 61.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 63c | 55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 24c | 50.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf174…d052backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Under | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Genoa CFC vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Genoa CFC vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Genoa CFC vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. Torino FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.