TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x751b…878c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST2958.6%17 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dubai Tennis Championships, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Luca Nardibacked Nardi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+72.5%+$275.12
Qatar Total Open: Victoria Mboko vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$563Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$563.21
Qatar Total Open: Iga Swiatek vs Maria Sakkaribacked Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+58.7%+$58.73
Rotterdam Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Rotterdam Open: Karen Khachanov vs Jaume Munarbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Rotterdam Open: Ugo Humbert vs Guy Den Oudenbacked Ouden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Argentina Open: Joao Fonseca vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Qatar Total Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Elina Svitolinabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Qatar Total Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+59.2%+$59.21
Rotterdam Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Qatar Total Open: Varvara Gracheva vs Maria Sakkaribacked Gracheva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Qatar Total Open: Alycia Parks vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+26.6%+$9.25
Qatar Total Open: Camila Osorio vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+63.1%+$63.08
Qatar Total Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Coco Gauffbacked Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+62.5%+$40.52
Qatar Total Open: Magdalena Frech vs Ann Libacked Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+31.6%+$31.58
Qatar Total Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Elise Mertensbacked Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+284.6%+$199.23
Qatar Total Open: Emma Raducanu vs Camila Osoriobacked Raducanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$182
Rotterdam Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+31.6%+$31.58
Transylvania Open: Emma Raducanu vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$157.14
Rotterdam Open, Qualification: Vitaliy Sachko vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Sonay Kartal vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Kartal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$50.91
Transylvania Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Daria Snigurbacked Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+38.9%+$112.39
Open Sud de France: Martin Damm vs Luca Nardibacked Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+25%+$50
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Alexandra Ealabacked Sasnovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Sara Bejlek vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+25%+$25
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST2650%13 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Magic vs. Sunsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Magic vs. Suns: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+123.5%+$123.52
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$136
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+37%+$36.99
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+92.3%+$46.15
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+56.3%+$112.5
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
76ers vs. Sunsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+31.6%+$31.58
Mavericks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+25%+$50
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$109.88
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$151.28
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+44.9%+$224.64
Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+54.1%+$108.17
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$467Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$467.32
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$526Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+53%+$278.95
76ers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+26.4%+$52.81
Nuggets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+30.7%+$122.75
Jazz vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$44.55
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+30.2%+$58.96
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$434.72
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1070%7 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+56.3%+$112.5
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+37.1%+$37.06
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+40.8%+$81.69
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+26.6%+$26.58
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+29.9%+$179.21
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$133.33
Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$26.58
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$173
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST7100%7 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+73.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+122.2%+$122.22
Auckland FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+25%+$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+38.9%+$44.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Juárez vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$31.64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.