TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-02-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$184,868
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$193,166

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,868 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed No43c49,844$21,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,464.629350.5%47 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes57c32,639$18,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,604.4693252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes57c19,210$10,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,888.1198544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes54c9,230$4,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,964.612,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No43c9,000$3,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,13020544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No43c7,017$3,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,999.875653.6%30 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No28c6,089$1,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,402.6849850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed70…48c1backed Yes58c6,000$3,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,48020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No43c5,500$2,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1355550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No76c5,310$4,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.0711153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes62c5,227$3,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,225.6196942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Yes58c5,148$2,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,985.956744.8%30 W · 37 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed No43c5,000$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8506360.3%38 W · 25 L+7.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a35…59febacked No45c5,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,750560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+37.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed No42c4,179$1,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,423.72748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No74c3,772$2,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.031,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No43c3,685$1,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,100.238744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12c6…0691backed Yes53c2,127$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.213033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-40.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes57c1,964$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.6817543.4%76 W · 99 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes13c1,962$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick29cpaid+99.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes58c1,810$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0505354.7%29 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9933357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes58c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007145.1%32 W · 39 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No43c1,404$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.6135646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60011837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes57c1,181$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.579631.3%30 W · 66 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No42c1,084$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.2540549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58020143.8%88 W · 113 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55010038%38 W · 62 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No11c942.15$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.154725.5%12 W · 35 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+58.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No44c867.03$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.87055.7%39 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes58c864.2$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012731.5%40 W · 87 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes30c846$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.1218858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed No43c790.5$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.5910940.4%44 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No46c758.52$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.622551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes57c755.92$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.871926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.3wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-53.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes30c615$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.578357.8%48 W · 35 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes56c600$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33613137.4%49 W · 82 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes33c600$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19816032.5%52 W · 108 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed No43c600$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3422250%11 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No43c562$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.4511964.7%77 W · 42 L+15.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+35.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x350e…bd56backed Yes57c526.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked No76c512.5$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.59440.4%38 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9666…2af8backed No67c505.16$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.924100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No46c499.99$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2706851.5%35 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Yes57c497.26$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.444557.8%26 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Yes58c494.48$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.83941%16 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes57c456$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.9237250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes42c434.69$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.5249137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed No43c423.63$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.912250%11 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes38c411.83$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.5420033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf26…b387backed Yes58c410$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x751b…878cbacked Yes59c389.75$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes54c388.85$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.0544753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a53…8c81backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002347.8%11 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes57c369.66$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.7141943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf680…2c59backed Yes27c363.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-36%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x58e1…4f30backed No47c360.36$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes57c360$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.23732.4%12 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0a4…6f8ebacked No47c359.33$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5528…c098backed Yes56c358.11$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5969…86ffbacked No47c355.35$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b72…adecbacked No47c354.19$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd6…33f9backed Yes54c352.71$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bc5…a45bbacked Yes57c351$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.075464.8%35 W · 19 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe3fc…055dbacked Yes54c349.68$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb736…404ebacked Yes54c345.91$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ae0…7956backed No47c344.63$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc07…7c50backed Yes54c343.38$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ad…75acbacked No47c342.83$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bd4…7b0cbacked Yes54c334.4$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd283…dfa6backed Yes54c326.05$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Yes58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1742343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-24.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1448640.7%35 W · 51 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1744245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1add…924abacked Yes23c299.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-37.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed No42c299.99$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.993652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes57c281.39$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.3915635.9%56 W · 100 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes58c270$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.616046.3%74 W · 86 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a0a…720dbacked Yes28c268.04$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751030%3 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+34.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9117…cecabacked Yes59c243.91$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1438548.2%41 W · 44 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Yes38c233.42$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.168041.3%33 W · 47 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed Yes25c232.7$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.182630.8%8 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb700…5a62backed Yes26c224.35$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.332532%8 W · 17 L-5.5wins-0.22per pick54cpaid-43.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked No43c220$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.45145.1%23 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1d1…a6a0backed Yes45c217.02$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.181741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x754f…ee9ebacked Yes58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a99…8302backed Yes58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1162259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x246f…b5aabacked Yes43c200$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9de0…dacebacked Yes11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22130%0 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes56c195.08$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.925836.2%21 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Yes53c188.29$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996253.2%33 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa912…297fbacked No70c185.55$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.32333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-52.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes58c180$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.45728.1%16 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x995e…534cbacked No75c177.4$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.352365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked No44c175.5$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.281855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Yes56c175.5$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.282339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-34.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Yes57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007661.8%47 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed No46c173.91$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.915862.1%36 W · 22 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No44c172.75$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.3714347.6%68 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.