TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Torino FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,491
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,421

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,491 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No74c4,682$3,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,473.9196942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f18…2d79backed Yes29c2,789$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,989.47540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No79c2,102$1,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,665.462,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes25c2,077$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,557.693622.2%8 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No18c1,930$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.5620033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes45c1,714$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.481,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes25c1,691$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,268.521058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes27c1,497$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.336848.5%33 W · 35 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+23.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No48c1,349$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.4149137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc490…6507backed Yes30c1,310$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9171346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+53.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes25c1,000$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7502951.7%15 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick37cpaid+52.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No17c709$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.0132843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8479…37f8backed Yes32c580$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.42536%9 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes79c553$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.1322373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No73c497.58$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.3849850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No74c415.94$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.6435646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes26c400$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2967830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x148e…a431backed Yes13c384.62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.62862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.36per pick27cpaid+225.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9dce…b663backed No75c370$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.51782.4%14 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No74c360.72$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.5644753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes33c300$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20116032.5%52 W · 108 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e52…9078backed Yes17c300$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.052646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No56c298.95$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.4193252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes25c280.75$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.4998544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No73c275.34$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017055.7%39 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No20c274.15$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9131738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5528…c098backed Yes27c274.07$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.07633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No74c269.81$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.6640549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa912…297fbacked No30c264.62$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.73333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-52.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No12c219.05$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5146742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a0a…720dbacked Yes16c205$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.21030%3 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+34.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes27c200$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1475726.3%15 W · 42 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes26c200$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1486040%24 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+40.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x995e…534cbacked Yes43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.762365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb90…8dd8backed No13c180$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.680%0 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes17c176.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.476136.1%22 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+35.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No46c176.46$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.157135.2%25 W · 46 L-7.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-39.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes46c170$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.0314347.6%68 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0abd…7207backed No13c160.49$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.86714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+257.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8e5…9401backed Yes33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+59.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e54…d0afbacked Yes40c148.17$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.17250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+23.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Yes14c144.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.352050%10 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes71c133.79$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.843058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d12…a4c4backed Yes38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.58862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5488…2119backed Yes11c127.27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+809.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No74c114.04$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8417529.1%51 W · 124 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc1df…16c1backed Yes44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6726747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe85f…7f69backed Yes26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744032.5%13 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1257…f4d2backed No13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid+177.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7e6…11afbacked Yes25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f6…8906backed Yes26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+42.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes26c96.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1511619%22 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes23c88.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.467240.3%29 W · 43 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes26c77.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.913026.7%8 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf677…409ebacked Yes26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.921323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2085…dd27backed Yes33c75.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.764447.7%21 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Yes26c73.08$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0811349.6%56 W · 57 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed No65c73$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7218858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x26a0…9fcdbacked No75c71$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x555f…7782backed Yes44c69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.642568%17 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7bd…616cbacked No75c63.33$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.185143.1%22 W · 29 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-29%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No49c61.16$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1836852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa686…19e0backed Yes26c60$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.42450%12 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+41.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes26c59.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0620741.5%86 W · 121 L+0.9wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31d0…9b7dbacked Yes26c57.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.691118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7ea…22d6backed Yes37c56.24$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.483360.6%20 W · 13 L+5.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+34.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3d8a…4d5fbacked No76c52.7$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Yes26c52.58$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.915841.4%24 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No75c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2532150.2%161 W · 160 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No75c49.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2423245.3%105 W · 127 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed No74c45.81$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0614255.6%79 W · 63 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x556c…5b77backed No58c43.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c3b…6583backed Yes33c42$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.145050%25 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8efb…c73ebacked Yes26c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.64953.1%26 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9d9…2f4abacked No70c36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.22766.7%18 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51d2…1462backed Yes32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.252860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+38.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed No75c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.511460.5%69 W · 45 L+14.9wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+27.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No74c27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9823353.6%125 W · 108 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93b5…42e7backed No75c22.3$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.665942.4%25 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed No74c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.813160.3%79 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e76…47fabacked No75c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.97558.7%44 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb196…33d5backed No74c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.810957.8%63 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e85…443ebacked No73c19.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.62740.7%11 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-31.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7226…873dbacked No75c18.87$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.11060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86d0…904ebacked No77c15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.5wins-0.44per pick57cpaid-74.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7a85…4f81backed No68c15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.21369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.