TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa912…297f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,062
Categories scored
38
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: AI, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category AI at 55 out of 100; worst Olympics at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT63656.1%357 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 636 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.19
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$5.03
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$10.72
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$5.22
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on May 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+35%+$6.67
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on May 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.9
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$6.98
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.63
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C or higher on May 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.71
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on May 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+65.4%+$15.16
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+149.1%+$28.62
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.57
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$2.83
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$41.74
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.6
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on May 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.93
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+68%+$9.86
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+49%+$8.01
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.22
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+81%+$32.98
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.73
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$13.17
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$4.96
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.9
Showing 25 of 636 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT7357.5%42 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+224.3%+$41.61
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.78
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.41
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.29
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.36
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$29.32
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.9
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+68%+$200.77
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,429Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$411.75
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$425.19
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.02
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+84.5%+$144.85
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.21
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$150.66
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.25
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.49
Will White House post 160-179 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$5.3
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.87
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.46
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$256.07
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+65.1%+$222.83
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
Will White House post 200+ posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.92
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+520.6%+$1,229.82
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$27.34
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT5860.3%35 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$35.49
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.09
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+149.7%+$53.05
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+92.6%+$55.17
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.13
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.88
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$14.11
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$8.02
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$41.99
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.26
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.47
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$604Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$245.3
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.3
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+491.2%+$160.83
Will Otto Ritter win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$51.01
Will Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+92.2%+$44.42
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.82
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.43
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 36-40% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 40-44% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$25.86
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.86
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.57
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT4148.8%20 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$7.16
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.19
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.5%+$18.11
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.32
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$20.77
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.28
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+190.2%+$44.65
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.65
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$16.76
Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.75
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.94
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.19
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$17.07
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.76
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.39
Will Send Help be the highest grossing movie this weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$34.5
Will "The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (February 10)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$28.42
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (February 10)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+26.2%+$11.16
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (February 10)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+34.5%+$37.83
Will "Is It Cake? Valentines" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (February 10)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+41%+$38.52
Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+174.6%+$54.46
Will "Solo Mio" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5.5m and 7m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+145.7%+$24.87
Will "M3GAN 2.0" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (February 3)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+39.7%+$62.2
Will "The Rip" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (February 3)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$47.89
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$108.98
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT2657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.01
Will Southampton FC vs. Derby County FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$60.3
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$45.53
Will Norwich City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$42.63
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.3
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+172.6%+$43.93
Will Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+33%+$83.96
Will Ipswich Town FC vs. Birmingham City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$6.31
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-04-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.98
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2026-04-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$44.96
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-04-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+74.2%+$34.96
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.86
Will Derby County FC vs. Stoke City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+37%+$53.61
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-04-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.37
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$674Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$338.96
Will Watford FC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$601Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$600.97
Will Watford FC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$738Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$274.26
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+28.5%+$16.94
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$25.63
Will Norwich City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+26.8%+$16.16
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.21
Will Sheffield United FC vs. Oxford United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+25.6%+$5.07
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.68
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+128%+$27.51
Will Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$37.4
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jason Miyares be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$3.28
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$12.71
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$354.53
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+229.1%+$358.69
Will Mark Johnston be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$8.86
Will Denise Powell be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.52
Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$20.68
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.06
Will Melissa Conyears Ervin be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+162.5%+$18.57
Will Kate Abughazaleh be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$50.66
Will Daniel Biss be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.72
Will La Shawn Ford be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.22
Will Tom Malinowski be the Democratic nominee for the NJ-11 special election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+143.5%+$40.17
Will Analilia Mejia be the Democratic nominee for the NJ-11 special election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$56.82
All 15 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+61.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+60.7%+$6.93
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+270.7%+$29.95
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.72
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24.02
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.44
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.3
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$30.52
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+382.3%+$116.04
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+426.3%+$73.49
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+123.6%+$18.35
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$23.29
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15.28
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+39.8%+$8.73
All 14 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.51
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+28%+$51.6
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.9
Will Henan FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.82
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-04-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.51
Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+248.5%+$151.3
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Gwangju FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.28
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-02-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+30.2%+$71.27
Will NEOM SC win on 2026-02-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$142.51
Will NEOM SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+31.8%+$75.31
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+30.5%+$96.22
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$142.91
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+47.1%+$5.44
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.74
All 14 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$56.06
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 30 and 40 million views on day 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+69.5%+$41
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be orange?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+26.6%+$2.92
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.29
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$37.92
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$63.63
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 120 and 130 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+31%+$29.43
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 100 and 110 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+25.1%+$16
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$109.8
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the 2025–26 NFL OPOY?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18.13
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the AFC South?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+58.7%+$9.25
Will the Carolina Panthers win the NFC South?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+33.6%+$6.28
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the NFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$143.3
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+96.3%+$152.05
All 14 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.79
Will annual inflation increase by 3.2% in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$2.99
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be 2.6%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+54.3%+$10.88
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be ≥2.7%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$23.36
Will Brazil’s Q4 2025 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 1.6% and 1.9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20.7
Will Brazil’s Q4 2025 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 2.0% and 2.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+26.4%+$6.68
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be 2.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+28%+$5.8
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.37
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.1% in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$14.77
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$14.43
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+241.5%+$34.21
Will the US add between 75k and 100k jobs in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+29.1%+$11.49
Will the US add between 50k and 75k jobs in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+33.2%+$12.71
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+97.4%+$84.09
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$16.93
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.36
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$88.59
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$16.68
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+55.1%+$81.73
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.77
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+86.1%+$12.39
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.44
Will the World team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+76.5%+$36.52
Will the USA Stripes team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+43.6%+$25.59
Will the USA Stars team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$61.21
All 12 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.33
Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+833.3%+$223.21
Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.89
Will Silver (SI) settle at $90-$100 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.27
Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.14
Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.13
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+69.4%+$10.12
Will Silver (SI) settle at $100-$115 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.16
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+312.1%+$85.7
Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.51
Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+41.2%+$4.38
All 12 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Odense BK vs. FC Fredericia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.73
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.87
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Rams Başakşehir FK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$44.58
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+26.6%+$33.6
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$76.8
Will Kocaelispor vs. Gaziantep FK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+38.9%+$44.8
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$13.05
Will Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Hibernian FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+25%+$2.52
Will Fortuna Sittard vs. Sparta Rotterdam end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$58.53
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+29.7%+$23.23
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+74.9%+$43.42
Will AZ win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+25%+$4
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-41.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$37.4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.45
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$9.36
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.58
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$10.34
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+53.8%+$16.67
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$722Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$722.01
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$21.43
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$571Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+116%+$662.34
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown end between May 11-17 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$16.99
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 27-May 3 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.44
Will the DHS shutdown end between May 18-24 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$11.12
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$72.42
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 9 - 15 be greater than 16,000,000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$19.13
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 9 - 15 be between 15,500,000 and 16,000,000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+61.3%+$10.13
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 9 - 15 be between 15,000,000 and 15,500,000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+25%+$4
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+114.4%+$549.25
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$252.31
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$262.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-04-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$92.99
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-04-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$90.45
Will Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.41
Will Macarthur FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$31.94
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-04-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.31
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-04-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$49.37
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.38
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.29
Will Sydney FC vs. Melbourne City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6
All 9 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-12.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick60cpaid-44.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Olympics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+29.5%+$23.65
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$80.86
Will Italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$83.4
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$40.92
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+34.1%+$26.37
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+79.6%+$52.4
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.37
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$21.75
All 8 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-44.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Stocks — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $275-$280 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.51
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $80-$90 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.22
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$28.76
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+79.6%+$36.47
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at <$220 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$48.74
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $6.00-$7.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 26 – Jan 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+32.3%+$18.09
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 26 – Jan 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$26.58
All 7 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid+17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+59.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-52.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-55.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+194.1%+$35.83
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-34.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.65
Will New Zealand win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$30.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Vitality win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15.69
Will Team Vitality win IEM Krakow 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$29.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Falcons win Blast Slam VI? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+39%+$21.21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.