South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club León FC win on 2026-04-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75f179ba5554de462f301e0933b5f048bbfd368e51e3b45fd2ca3f42bfb7be46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x95de…c9b2backed No | 67c | 9,760$6,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,538.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 34c | 3,638$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,398.74 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 33c | 3,254$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,179.9 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 38c | 2,228$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.01 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 33c | 2,153$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.65 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 66c | 2,000$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.6 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 6c | 1,873$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.26 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 64c | 1,612$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.99 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 61c | 1,087$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.92 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 30c | 1,050$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.04 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 33c | 679$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.65 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 64c | 599.98$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.99 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 13c | 441.54$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.07 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 62c | 409.56$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.94 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…0dc3backed No | 74c | 254.15$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.07 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 49c | 249.83$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.03 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 68c | 246$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.28 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 42c | 201.07$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.58 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed No | 68c | 184$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.12 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 39c | 179.17$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.54 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 58c | 169.64$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.71 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…13afbacked Yes | 33c | 163.64$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.64 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes | 37c | 163$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.36 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 39c | 161.95$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.48 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked Yes | 63c | 159.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.29 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 49c | 152.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.41 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…3ec7backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 11c | 120.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes | 39c | 99.92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.64 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 35c | 83.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.33 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 55c | 80.34$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9087…9532backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e5…ba5fbacked No | 64c | 73.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 25c | 72.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6924…1455backed Yes | 33c | 72.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.73 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +6.5wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Yes | 37c | 62.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.08 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 37c | 62.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.08 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 37c | 62.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.08 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 37c | 62.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.08 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 37c | 62.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.08 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 68c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 66c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 76c | 57.35$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Yes | 35c | 55.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 71c | 54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 25c | 51.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Yes | 39c | 49.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 70c | 47.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0c…a98fbacked No | 64c | 45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed No | 63c | 44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 34c | 43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 31c | 42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Yes | 36c | 38.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 34c | 33.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed No | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 72c | 26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 56c | 25.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 67c | 24.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 22.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed No | 66c | 22.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2720backed Yes | 57c | 22.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 76c | 19.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Yes | 76c | 19.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed No | 67c | 18.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…f69dbacked Yes | 76c | 16.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 65c | 15.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club León FC win on 2026-04-10?this page
- Will Club Puebla vs. Club León FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Puebla win on 2026-04-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.