TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x43e5…ba5f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
161
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 55 out of 100; worst Mls at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT3154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.63
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.04
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$45.26
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+196.5%+$100.74
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.62
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.44
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+35%+$8.89
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$89.39
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$134.04
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$12.11
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.06
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$497.94
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+75.3%+$60.6
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.18
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+66.3%+$193.02
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$88.19
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$142.99
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.33
Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+106.9%+$109.82
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.42
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.55
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$32.09
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+74%+$15.29
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.27
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+59.3%+$50.48
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$14.78
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.74
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.15
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.27
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.74
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$23.99
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+233.2%+$316.18
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$44.38
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.46
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.56
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.7
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.25
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+68.6%+$107.43
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.01
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.56
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$55.3
Will Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$5.22
All 17 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-46.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.77
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+143.5%+$64.23
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.28
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.58
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.02
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.72
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+105%+$98.95
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.6
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.98
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+89.9%+$34.47
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.73
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.46
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.91
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.31
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.56
Will Levante UD win on 2026-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.61
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.27
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+83%+$114.32
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$8.27
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$46.54
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+105.3%+$130.66
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick18cpaid+190%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+2,509.8%+$445.22
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.5
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.45
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.3
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.54
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.89
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.22
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.98
All 9 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-4.0wins-0.44per pick67cpaid-63.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
Mls — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
San Diego FC vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.99
Chicago Fire FC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.22
New England Revolution vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$7.31
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.77
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Portland Timbers vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.41
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.48
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.9
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+318%+$104.9
Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.32
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.27
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$7.24
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.13
Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.48
All 8 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-40.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick12cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-46.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Casper Ruudbacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.21
Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelkabacked Reilly Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.39
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Ethan Quinnbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.58
All 3 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+260.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+260.4%+$38.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+126.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+126.1%+$14.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$4.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.