TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,870
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,940

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,870 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2974…95d6backed Under70c7,413$5,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,188.971030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over68c4,475$3,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,417.796468.8%44 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Under70c4,209$2,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9464645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under60c3,703$2,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,226.463,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over21c2,890$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,296.2660147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over30c2,462$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,723.181,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over32c2,327$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.21,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over21c2,043$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,624.2210418.3%19 W · 85 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under49c2,040$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.6792345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Over28c1,697$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.489833.7%33 W · 65 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c1,677$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.134,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46cf…42eabacked Over60c1,652$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.991643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ce1…2f49backed Under75c1,533$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.671136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-40.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over24c1,432$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.0210820.4%22 W · 86 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over31c1,361$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.0999933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under1c1,200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15533.8%2 W · 51 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+82.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over48c1,009$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.876437.5%24 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Over60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4005244.2%23 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa1…1fa9backed Over20c999.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.99650%3 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+203.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Over29c924.37$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.17936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4c…39c0backed Under6c899.98$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick8cpaid+94.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under63c860.74$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.781,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over46c799.99$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43216149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b5f…cdfcbacked Under63c782.24$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.81425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-68.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d0b…fbafbacked Under71c597.64$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.6640%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under69c590.03$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.127750.6%39 W · 38 L-9.7wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe84a…702dbacked Under70c552.73$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.914454.5%24 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over72c544.86$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.5610938.5%42 W · 67 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-3.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over30c544.01$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.5248251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d4…8e51backed Over38c532.66$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.251952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x54e8…5e6bbacked Over61c498.65$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.392075%15 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over31c463.84$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.0517128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under44c463.66$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.035366%35 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over58c412.59$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.2912875%96 W · 32 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Under73c393.52$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.33425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-44.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over47c387.28$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.265341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59b2…8297backed Under51c381$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.11650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over30c365.46$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.8268450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc775…6b22backed Under11c362.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.931010%1 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3ac…5018backed Over55c353.82$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.221872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+26.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed Over51c351.18$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.26259.7%37 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+24.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x294f…4ca9backed Under29c330.14$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.74616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over30c316.13$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.3120050.5%101 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Under46c315.12$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.153151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over30c300$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21064457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over30c300$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21011736.8%43 W · 74 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Under65c298.14$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.7221355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4520…e501backed Under40c296.74$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.71643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Over31c286.74$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.858353%44 W · 39 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over30c282.25$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.5823957.7%138 W · 101 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over30c273$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.128045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e9b…a0ecbacked Over63c250.27$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe91c…317ebacked Under70c241.55$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.261963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Under31c235.01$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.853246.9%15 W · 17 L+6.4wins+0.20per pick27cpaid+62.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Under70c217.83$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.48728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x191a…b47dbacked Under10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick8cpaid+240.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Over15c200$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1705149%25 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa203…11bcbacked Under39c192.68$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.152040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under54c182.45$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.522850%14 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8769…04aebacked Under54c180.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.24666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Under29c165.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.873339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over39c162.01$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.7461657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Over68c156.93$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.221457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0ba…9d46backed Under70c144.49$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over20c143.67$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.5920241.6%84 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under69c142.23$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.1423152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x62b8…a9aebacked Under69c128.01$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.331250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce2…9787backed Over22c120$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.23100%3 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+265.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf2dc…5613backed Under54c119.56$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec5a…cd56backed Over48c100.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.482100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+110.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over30c100.01$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6745450%227 W · 227 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef3a…dc6bbacked Under65c99.3$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.545352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19ee…446cbacked Over40c98.81$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.291741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed Over76c97.1$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.164376.7%33 W · 10 L+9.8wins+0.23per pick54cpaid+46.5%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over30c97$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.91,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7418…ab9fbacked Under50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.52035%7 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over30c95.33$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7322658.4%132 W · 94 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xed5d…ea3bbacked Over26c82.12$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.421250%6 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+36.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over24c75.96$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7316363.8%104 W · 59 L+32.3wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+66.9%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over49c74.57$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6611819.5%23 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over67c73.15$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1422450.4%113 W · 111 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd53c…5194backed Over31c69.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.293933.3%13 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Over57c69.69$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.718062.2%112 W · 68 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over24c69$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4417562.9%110 W · 65 L+32.1wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+64.6%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Under76c66.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2719461.9%120 W · 74 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Over30c63.87$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7117061.2%104 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Over32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.54959.2%29 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Under79c62.21$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.171127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.6wins-0.33per pick60cpaid-60.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Under68c61.3$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.68540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3322…7dc2backed Over32c59.95$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.772934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1683…e4abbacked Under72c59.55$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.882147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa185…497abacked Under75c59.48$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3080…f041backed Over72c59.25$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.59850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Over45c58.02$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.914542.2%19 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Under77c55.71$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8621457.5%123 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb9…2772backed Over54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b3b…f353backed Under29c49.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3660%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa3b…8568backed Over30c49.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.433050%15 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under72c49.16$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.417455.2%96 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.