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La Liga · resolved market

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$377,155
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$418,492

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $377,155 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed Over51c105,494$53,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,692.276048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Under47c50,138$23,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,567.810450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22f9…f814backed Under49c34,622$16,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,964.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under49c28,111$13,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,733.9214146.8%66 W · 75 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Under47c22,521$10,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,584.666238.7%24 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over50c16,788$8,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,394.242259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Under58c15,457$8,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,979.322343.5%10 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-29.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over49c11,527$5,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,924.4812132.2%39 W · 82 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Over53c11,442$6,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,377.542673.1%19 W · 7 L+6.2wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+58.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c10,425$5,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,195.934,84647%2,279 W · 2,567 L-17.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c8,898$4,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,360.0990543.4%393 W · 512 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c6,703$3,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,257.32,38148.3%1,151 W · 1,230 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09d4…5f81backed Over48c4,824$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,514.06757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+53.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked Under49c4,550$2,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,229.621457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x639c…31e2backed Under49c3,745$1,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,835.07955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Over53c3,667$1,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,723.571136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf541…ac67backed Over75c3,301$2,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.78875%6 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7cc…791fbacked Over53c3,068$1,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e01…0875backed Under49c3,057$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497.7260%0 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under46c2,752$1,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.243,54642.7%1,514 W · 2,032 L+28.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x708a…a0d8backed Under47c2,556$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2840…fb26backed Over50c2,543$1,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.9616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick54cpaid-66.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under59c2,508$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.593138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under47c2,500$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17528045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under50c2,279$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.8593145.4%423 W · 508 L-30.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Over53c1,944$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.497667.1%51 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over53c1,811$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.261,26751.3%650 W · 617 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under49c1,523$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.3223456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72011354.9%62 W · 51 L-0.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77e8…6854backed Under47c1,339$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.33560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under49c1,291$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.9722658.4%132 W · 94 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over49c1,266$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.754440.9%18 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Under46c1,256$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.8920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over51c1,230$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.6670356.2%395 W · 308 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under2c1,200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18533.8%2 W · 51 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+82.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Over43c1,200$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.995244.2%23 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46cf…42eabacked Over53c1,002$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.111643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ecf…af11backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4901258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x167a…91d5backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under48c806.36$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.6973549.7%365 W · 370 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Over51c761.25$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.011361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under48c729$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.9220159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under51c700.99$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.251,45845.1%658 W · 800 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ce1…2f49backed Under53c694.82$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.251136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-40.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under48c688$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.241478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.3wins+0.31per pick48cpaid+62.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc621…7c5cbacked Under39c677.88$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.67944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over52c646.98$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.3548251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Under48c629$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.92633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over53c591.82$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.1622446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under41c557.28$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.0548548.9%237 W · 248 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over53c552.97$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.954338.5%209 W · 334 L+2.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over52c541.15$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.4613362.4%83 W · 50 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b5f…cdfcbacked Under48c532.84$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.76425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-68.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over53c496.66$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.4335442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e07…80d1backed Under39c494.05$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.682231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Over53c485.9$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.3713562.2%84 W · 51 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over53c485.9$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.3712466.1%82 W · 42 L+12.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over53c485.9$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.3710154.5%55 W · 46 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Under48c465.11$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.258254.9%45 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Over67c434.11$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1442060%12 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x835c…8e3bbacked Under48c401.91$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.921827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-44.4%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under48c387.66$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1868353%44 W · 39 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over52c372.92$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.421,66943.8%731 W · 938 L-22.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x294f…4ca9backed Under26c367.54$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.56616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under49c363.91$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.3240357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked Under48c353.73$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.794763.8%30 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over53c343.82$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.632945.6%150 W · 179 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf787…7b27backed Over52c322.96$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.021346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over60c317.68$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5460147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over53c308.67$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.0722448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under47c303.96$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.864334.9%15 W · 28 L-7.0wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-34%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14411736.8%43 W · 74 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Over53c283.08$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.059058.9%53 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3b…5a53backed Over53c278.7$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.991050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4248…50febacked Over47c255.34$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.33250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under48c247.42$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.991,13832.4%369 W · 769 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Under35c238.88$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.616735.8%24 W · 43 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over54c237.21$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.191,61238.4%619 W · 993 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d2…6ea7backed Under50c232.8$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.41030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid+49.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under49c225.6$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.5411853.4%63 W · 55 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb5…899dbacked Under48c220.81$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.99425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-62.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Over53c220.03$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.413253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Over49c218.65$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.517936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e89…fb59backed Over50c215.32$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.66666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over45c214.89$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.199823.5%23 W · 75 L-8.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8337…9aacbacked Over46c210.35$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.59977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+50.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3319…ba79backed Under48c201.03$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.492152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Over38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1246350.8%32 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10016936.1%61 W · 108 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over54c197.69$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.7112755.1%70 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x81ed…6879backed Under50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…0b46backed Under51c191.6$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.041747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2522939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Over53c188.72$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.79859.2%58 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over53c188.72$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.78457.1%48 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed Over47c185.89$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.526342.9%27 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over53c182.44$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.755944.1%26 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x70dc…1317backed Under48c181.65$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.192657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+24.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f7b…440fbacked Under6c178.72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.72922.2%2 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick4cpaid+400%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.