La Liga · resolved market
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ee8136039453c271b88e304c919e9fbf9b80d22adf7adb83d17ee0fa861483b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,627
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 25c | 9,032$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.46 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf541…ac67backed Over | 78c | 3,801$2,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.16 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb357…2587backed Over | 78c | 2,242$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Over | 79c | 1,250$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.59 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 1,200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 19c | 1,199$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.22 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 22c | 623$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.64 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 19c | 595.53$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.68 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +17.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Under | 20c | 476$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +6.4wins | +0.20per pick | 27cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 20c | 431.64$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.61 | 1,651 | 43.9%724 W · 927 L | -21.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 78c | 368.6$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.09 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 22c | 272.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.62 | 1,497 | 38.6%578 W · 919 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…8184backed Under | 10c | 189.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3b…f353backed Under | 17c | 168.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Under | 26c | 164.58$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Over | 69c | 142.65$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.53 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 22c | 122.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed Under | 26c | 113.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 31c | 113.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 75c | 110$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 40 | 82.5%33 W · 7 L | +6.5wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Under | 11c | 109.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Over | 77c | 99.76$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 147 | 59.2%87 W · 60 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Over | 76c | 97.75$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 22c | 96.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 452 | 50.2%227 W · 225 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 76c | 94.67$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +9.9wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 22c | 61.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 680 | 50.4%343 W · 337 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 26c | 54.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 272 | 57.7%157 W · 115 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Over | 78c | 52.02$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 26c | 50.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 25c | 48.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 261 | 54.4%142 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…4d8cbacked Over | 78c | 46.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81ae…4440backed Over | 78c | 44.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Over | 67c | 39.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94ab…83f5backed Over | 77c | 38.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 48 | 77.1%37 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…8638backed Over | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a3…121fbacked Over | 70c | 29.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 72c | 27.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 72c | 25.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 163 | 63.8%104 W · 59 L | +32.3wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7650…5099backed Over | 77c | 25.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 75c | 25.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 434 | 39.6%172 W · 262 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…efefbacked Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 76c | 19.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…c7acbacked Over | 78c | 18.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 74cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5this page
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-2.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Athletic Club won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)Athletic Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.