TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,735
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,555

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,735 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over18c3,682$664 inWon+$3,018.573,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over13c2,302$299 inWon+$2,002.9410418.3%19 W · 85 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over14c2,131$298 inWon+$1,833.181,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22ac…7409backed Under79c2,110$1,663 inLost-$1,662.931656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over15c1,974$299 inWon+$1,674.6899933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Under69c1,071$736 inLost-$735.912665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over36c1,002$361 inWon+$641.444440.9%18 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under73c988.7$723 inLost-$722.6392345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under1c949.27$10 inLost-$10.13533.8%2 W · 51 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+82.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over16c591.21$97 inWon+$493.949228.9%142 W · 350 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4c…39c0backed Under8c500$41 inLost-$40.51513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick8cpaid+94.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over11c443.89$49 inWon+$395.3141751.8%216 W · 201 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x294f…4ca9backed Under70c421.73$295 inLost-$295.21616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over21c405.39$84 inWon+$321.834,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed Over19c357.24$69 inWon+$288.556259.7%37 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+24.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9bea…038ebacked Under6c349.13$21 inLost-$20.9250%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over20c293.74$59 inWon+$234.6611736.8%43 W · 74 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under62c289$179 inLost-$179.1820142.8%86 W · 115 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over21c257.2$54 inWon+$203.1911819.5%23 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under6c250$15 inLost-$14.52020%4 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick8cpaid+216.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb348…776fbacked Over8c236.2$19 inWon+$217.3520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+150%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ee…446cbacked Over27c215.53$57 inWon+$158.171741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under67c205.09$136 inLost-$136.461,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under6c200$12 inLost-$11.6442.3%1 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-50.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2116…eb8fbacked Under12c179.51$21 inLost-$2170%0 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Under70c140.36$98 inLost-$98.213339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd97…b6edbacked Under70c140.29$98 inLost-$98.2825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-62.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fc4…7ae7backed Under80c124.05$99 inLost-$98.781225%3 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-52.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over15c100$15 inWon+$8516149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb82b…bb76backed Over15c99.99$15 inWon+$84.993842.1%16 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+50.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed Under69c77.33$53 inLost-$53.361968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d4…8c7fbacked Under73c75.72$55 inLost-$55.271250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under74c58$43 inLost-$42.925366%35 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over30c52.05$16 inWon+$36.449722.7%22 W · 75 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-29.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x125c…f50abacked Over31c46.38$14 inWon+$325543.6%24 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Under78c29.82$23 inLost-$23.357263.9%46 W · 26 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e35…ee1abacked Under66c29.68$20 inLost-$19.591752.9%9 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick71cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Over65c29.31$19 inWon+$10.2825872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xafcf…72f6backed Under74c15.75$12 inLost-$11.581330.8%4 W · 9 L-4.1wins-0.31per pick62cpaid-58%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.