TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x36d4…8c7f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT2835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5)backed Korea Republic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
England vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+128.3%+$128.31
Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$41.04
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$94.12
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$59.74
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
England vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.78
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$203.03
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.86
France vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$160.71
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.15
RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+203%+$136.03
Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.4
Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$28.76
Valencia CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$43.47
Villarreal CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.36
CA Osasuna vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+620.2%+$577.18
CA Osasuna vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.48
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.27
Getafe CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.76
Deportivo Alavés vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$71.02
Getafe CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-38.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.27
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$223.84
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Crystal Palace FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Brentford FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$47.54
Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.91
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-73.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+27%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.76per pick25cpaid+308.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+300%+$198
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$190
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.7
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+76.6%+$11.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$155.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.