TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,307
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,989

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,307 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under43c10,450$4,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,934.726139.3%24 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over45c6,165$2,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,786.514,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb585…53edbacked Under66c4,560$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.931070%7 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over47c4,483$2,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,101.016,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x22ac…7409backed Under59c3,210$1,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,313.54768.1%32 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd2c…e8e8backed Over57c2,606$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,481.991010%1 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-80.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under29c2,198$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560.588116%13 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under78c1,295$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.581,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over45c1,247$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.0521250%106 W · 106 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over25c1,220$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.8510739.3%42 W · 65 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x210a…1080backed Over59c1,214$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.031060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+68.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over24c1,113$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.1582763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x53e4…6f6bbacked Over67c1,100$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7372045%9 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b5d…cdfcbacked Under69c1,009$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.44771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Under30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7002850%14 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over50c862.9$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.623632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under57c778.4$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.0874644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under56c775.39$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.5531849.1%156 W · 162 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over65c749.92$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.713868.4%26 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over65c600$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39026548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under57c580.32$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.0276842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under58c522.81$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.3572142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Over25c494.81$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.195044%22 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over18c400$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.853522.9%8 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under30c400$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2804254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf91c…baa7backed Under52c381$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.931457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8374…f183backed Over57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-41.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd68d…945dbacked Over16c350$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.850%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over25c348.9$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5473258.5%428 W · 304 L+46.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x36d4…8c7fbacked Under29c315.27$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.841127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-38.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over36c305.56$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1109724.7%24 W · 73 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0276…8454backed Under51c294.87$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.872657.7%15 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over44c282$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.0820651.9%107 W · 99 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over34c280.52$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6122644.2%100 W · 126 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbaa7…3fbabacked Under46c237.76$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.39771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+46.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc56d…c484backed Under73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over42c199$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.8313250.8%67 W · 65 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1468…2ca9backed Over14c188$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.328122.2%18 W · 63 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked Over70c179.17$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.429660.4%58 W · 38 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac7…c99abacked Over60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ae3…cd3bbacked Over62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Over49c160$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.41428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-41.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x49a1…41cbbacked Over71c139.61$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.12875%6 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd89d…d6b7backed Over71c137.48$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.61650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Over64c136.86$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.592853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Under78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.211392.3%12 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick73cpaid+27.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over15c124.76$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7159247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under73c124.56$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3517244.2%76 W · 96 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e02…3667backed Under64c116.63$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.56742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-25.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under44c111$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1629250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Under77c110$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.31369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0a…50adbacked Over59c109.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.891361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over22c109.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4741260.2%248 W · 164 L+22.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c8f…2819backed Over65c102.22$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.391838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2519244.8%86 W · 106 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Under31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over14c99.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8735941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x030d…8e95backed Over25c84.2$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.055457.4%31 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee5b…dac8backed Over31c80$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.983253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdba1…7198backed Over63c79.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8e3…05e1backed Over65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012647.6%60 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1683…e4abbacked Over65c75.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497745.5%35 W · 42 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcfff…3d0ebacked Over54c71.07$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.123461.8%21 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed Over52c70.77$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.853650%18 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Over43c67.56$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbbc…3122backed Under78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.12564%16 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under31c59.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.397342.5%31 W · 42 L-7.9wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over45c56.4$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3811655.2%64 W · 52 L+13.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+20.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over39c55.25$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7236545.2%165 W · 200 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x445b…a19bbacked Under78c54.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0115…ac79backed Under71c54.93$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.931566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fad…fdc0backed Over23c52.84$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125018%9 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick18cpaid+127.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Over29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1545224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under71c51.72$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e4e…2564backed Under39c51.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.62650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0565…14d9backed Over72c49.15$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.39366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Over26c49$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.744330.2%13 W · 30 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-37.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5218…7fc9backed Over61c47.62$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.05650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over36c46.84$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.853928.2%11 W · 28 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-54.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2912…6817backed Over62c43.8$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Over48c43.13$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.698644.2%38 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over50c40.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020336.9%75 W · 128 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Over58c39.78$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.933345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Over59c39.05$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.049857.1%56 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over41c37.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3688635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e8…7c26backed Under78c36.09$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.09966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over60c35.48$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3312954.3%70 W · 59 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under79c34.18$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.186160.7%37 W · 24 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ffa…6822backed Over69c33.13$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over45c32.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5620956%117 W · 92 L+15.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc6e9…c69cbacked Over62c31.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Under77c31.65$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.286445.3%29 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x195d…2decbacked Over70c31.43$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick46cpaid-56.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Over73c27.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205145.1%23 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Under45c26.79$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.72176.2%16 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.18per pick58cpaid+29.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0a1f…efd1backed Under75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0514…def7backed Over69c26.09$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.4wins-0.37per pick60cpaid-65.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7fb9…2772backed Over49c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.251428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-32.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over53c24.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1325256%141 W · 111 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over61c18.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0514463.2%91 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.