TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Burnley FCof Aston Villa FC, Burnley FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,294
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,191

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,294 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Aston Villa FC32c9,226$2,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,912.0288635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Burnley FC61c6,392$3,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,490.9113353.4%71 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c58…f3c7backed Burnley FC75c5,686$4,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,446.27475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+33.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Burnley FC61c4,047$2,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,578.333151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Aston Villa FC40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006526.2%17 W · 48 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Aston Villa FC36c2,135$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.6322049.1%108 W · 112 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Aston Villa FC35c1,456$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.6435941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Aston Villa FC40c1,235$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.112714.8%4 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-64.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe84a…702dbacked Aston Villa FC37c1,187$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.022748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Burnley FC67c1,084$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.5816753.3%89 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Burnley FC67c1,084$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.5840655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Burnley FC74c1,003$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.582763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Aston Villa FC15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-51.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Burnley FC65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3504148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Burnley FC61c983.61$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.615442.6%23 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0a…cbc9backed Aston Villa FC40c933.63$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.456142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Burnley FC75c789.51$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.3820651.9%107 W · 99 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5c5…5dccbacked Burnley FC65c697.33$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.07540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Burnley FC71c625.29$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.084,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Aston Villa FC37c522.62$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.8441850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Aston Villa FC40c492.3$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.921936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Burnley FC62c436.31$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.4955751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Burnley FC63c435.06$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.196743.3%29 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Aston Villa FC27c413.44$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.5272142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Burnley FC74c405.01$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1055044%22 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe758…5eb1backed Aston Villa FC19c400$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-62.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Aston Villa FC50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003250%16 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Aston Villa FC40c375$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503050%15 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Aston Villa FC21c300$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6319244.8%86 W · 106 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9006…385abacked Aston Villa FC35c299$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.655459.3%32 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Aston Villa FC33c245.99$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.186439.1%25 W · 39 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x68cc…d976backed Burnley FC61c232.79$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.798259.8%49 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x806a…62d7backed Aston Villa FC36c221.79$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794535.6%16 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Aston Villa FC39c200.01$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7827752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b37…17bdbacked Aston Villa FC22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4410125.7%26 W · 75 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Aston Villa FC22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4417244.2%76 W · 96 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Burnley FC70c182.39$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.056,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4497…d5a3backed Aston Villa FC28c175$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Aston Villa FC33c168.98$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.761,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81b0…858cbacked Aston Villa FC37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+47.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Burnley FC74c128.16$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.261,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x753e…5c11backed Aston Villa FC40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-42.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Aston Villa FC26c118.16$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8822645.6%103 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95db…dc65backed Aston Villa FC36c108.58$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.212040%8 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Aston Villa FC39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3912139.7%48 W · 73 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Burnley FC66c98.8$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.597759.7%46 W · 31 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Aston Villa FC23c89.87$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5551516.1%83 W · 432 L-49.9wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x030d…8e95backed Burnley FC75c87.53$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.885457.4%31 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x75f0…d5e9backed Aston Villa FC27c87$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.49922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-47.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Aston Villa FC27c86.21$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.286445.3%29 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Aston Villa FC27c83.48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1736545.2%165 W · 200 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cd7…33d9backed Aston Villa FC35c80$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5968…96f0backed Burnley FC64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.136462.5%40 W · 24 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9787…37dfbacked Aston Villa FC38c76.11$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295032%16 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d74…0324backed Aston Villa FC40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5a6…4c33backed Aston Villa FC40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303951.3%20 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Burnley FC73c73.29$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1674644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d9…496abacked Aston Villa FC37c67.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Aston Villa FC37c65.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.12,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Burnley FC62c63$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.168259.8%49 W · 33 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b80…d023backed Burnley FC61c62.3$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.36854.4%37 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Burnley FC65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2121250.9%108 W · 104 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Burnley FC70c58.69$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8959247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Burnley FC54c54.64$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.135856.9%33 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2da…c498backed Aston Villa FC40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fa6…e929backed Aston Villa FC40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204337.2%16 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf557…e001backed Aston Villa FC35c44.89$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Burnley FC65c41.6$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5628859.7%172 W · 116 L+19.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Burnley FC65c41.6$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5616053.1%85 W · 75 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xacff…4176backed Burnley FC61c40.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.986159%36 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Aston Villa FC40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1627846.4%129 W · 149 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Burnley FC60c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1616454.9%90 W · 74 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dff…d2d1backed Burnley FC61c38.52$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.026357.1%36 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6d4…523cbacked Burnley FC61c36$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.041776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+36.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Burnley FC70c35$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.615858.2%92 W · 66 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x44f6…2c1ebacked Burnley FC61c34.1$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.36060%36 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa096…31d6backed Burnley FC61c33.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.115757.9%33 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c47…30b6backed Burnley FC61c31.97$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.475954.2%32 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae52…405cbacked Aston Villa FC38c31.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick37cpaid-74.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x41d8…7233backed Burnley FC64c30.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.22365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+28.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4b47…2448backed Burnley FC61c29.51$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.516152.5%32 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Burnley FC61c29.38$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.467060%42 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa906…ff14backed Burnley FC61c28.36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.066258.1%36 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…ce65backed Burnley FC61c27.05$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.556258.1%36 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Burnley FC66c26.21$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.918442.9%36 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Aston Villa FC40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108536.5%31 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-1.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf875…256cbacked Aston Villa FC40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.33per pick43cpaid-82.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa8af…9426backed Burnley FC63c24.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.251266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick63cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eb4…9cb8backed Burnley FC60c23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.21850%9 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x43e5…118cbacked Burnley FC61c22.62$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.826055%33 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Burnley FC63c21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7757833%191 W · 387 L-29.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Burnley FC64c20.8$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4912954.3%70 W · 59 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Burnley FC63c18.44$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7412562.4%78 W · 47 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e27…9967backed Burnley FC74c16.8$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.372657.7%15 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef3a…dc6bbacked Burnley FC64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.634850%24 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29fb…4930backed Burnley FC64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.632133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc56b…772abacked Burnley FC66c15.26$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.192050%10 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.