TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x29fb…4930

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
122
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Music, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Music at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-38.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$42.5
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Valencia CF (-2.5)backed Valencia CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Valencia CF (-1.5)backed Valencia CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Valencia CF (-2.5)backed Valencia CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$12.23
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.11
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.04
All 23 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Manchester City FC 1 - 0 Aston Villa FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
Exact Score: Brighton & Hove Albion FC 1 - 0 Manchester United FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$14.58
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$97.06
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$58.24
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
All 21 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.13
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.68
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$36.3
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.72
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+45%+$9
Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.64
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.36
All 20 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed 1. FC Köln · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: 1. FC Köln (-2.5)backed 1. FC Köln · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5)backed Hamburger SV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$73.45
1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$188.1
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.22
Will 1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+141.1%+$126.97
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.77
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.46
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+71.9%+$78.92
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+98.3%+$25.74
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$8.74
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$19.99
All 13 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by 15-20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by 5-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by at least 20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$576.95
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by 10-15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win between 90-94 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win 95 or more seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+51%+$102.02
All 8 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-41.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick14cpaid-22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.97per pick3cpaid+3,224.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+3,224.4%+$967.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+495.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+495.6%+$123.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.