MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf454970aea4aaeca5cae6f029adcb07f06134635cf317bb897bb618dfe875a0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof New York Mets, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $668,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $660,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $668,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 457 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd959…daf7backed Washington Nationals | 80c | 124,187$99,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,349.95 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed New York Mets | 20c | 98,976$19,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,180.66 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…4c4fbacked New York Mets | 55c | 55,359$30,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,054.7 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 43,217$20,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,311.84 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Mets | 43c | 42,487$18,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,346.43 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed New York Mets | 56c | 40,000$22,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,599.81 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 29,589$13,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,828.35 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed New York Mets | 48c | 23,929$11,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,354.95 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 16,258$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,316 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked New York Mets | 60c | 14,815$8,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,925.92 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 13,280$5,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,843.2 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 12,553$5,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,655.86 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 12,146$5,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,819.87 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b88…9856backed New York Mets | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,199.98 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked New York Mets | 61c | 9,436$5,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,670.14 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 9,131$4,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,091.77 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 8,044$3,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,539.25 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Washington Nationals | 0c | 7,800$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed New York Mets | 46c | 7,734$3,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,174.81 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed New York Mets | 44c | 7,398$3,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,130.93 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets | 56c | 7,302$4,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,243.5 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 7,283$3,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,645.62 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00c…f4febacked Washington Nationals | 48c | 7,271$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 6,830$3,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,005.37 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 6,631$2,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,931.77 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed New York Mets | 53c | 5,994$3,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,817.21 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 5,940$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300.39 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 5,682$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 5,647$2,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,446.91 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets | 54c | 4,380$2,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.4 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 4,028$2,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158.06 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked New York Mets | 46c | 3,866$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.37 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Washington Nationals | 1c | 3,521$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 54c | 3,493$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.13 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked New York Mets | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.97 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Washington Nationals | 25c | 2,953$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.23 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…59c8backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 2,524$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed New York Mets | 60c | 2,469$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.66 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14dc…ef3abacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 2,416$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed New York Mets | 56c | 2,394$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.17 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55bb…bc01backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 2,338$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.99 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed New York Mets | 63c | 2,221$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.92 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed New York Mets | 56c | 2,175$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.75 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a5…dd82backed New York Mets | 57c | 1,849$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Mets | 54c | 1,799$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.49 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed New York Mets | 58c | 1,744$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.6 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 1,737$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.98 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 1,730$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.56 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Washington Nationals | 25c | 1,577$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.67 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1588…357cbacked New York Mets | 57c | 1,568$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7d…b41bbacked New York Mets | 57c | 1,524$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Washington Nationals | 61c | 1,502$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.26 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…c59abacked Washington Nationals | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Mets | 54c | 1,491$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.77 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 1,445$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.23 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Washington Nationals | 54c | 1,420$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.81 | 124 | 46%57 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 1,301$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.37 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked New York Mets | 47c | 1,278$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.34 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 1,224$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.56 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Washington Nationals | 36c | 1,222$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.92 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 1,167$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.82 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…b730backed New York Mets | 57c | 1,111$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.75 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Washington Nationals | 66c | 1,108$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.68 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 1,067$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.77 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed New York Mets | 47c | 1,051$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.52 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked New York Mets | 55c | 1,040$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.9 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed New York Mets | 56c | 1,005$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.2 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Washington Nationals | 29c | 1,005$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.47 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 1,000$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.37 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…a92abacked New York Mets | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10e…beedbacked New York Mets | 62c | 999.99$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed New York Mets | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 919.95$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.88 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7265…8712backed New York Mets | 55c | 859.24$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.66 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 842.11$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.43 | 142 | 35.9%51 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Mets | 68c | 822.95$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.49 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7585…ea79backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 809$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.96 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 806.01$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.52 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 750.93$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.31 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Washington Nationals | 75c | 721.94$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.69 | 52 | 73.1%38 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Washington Nationals | 36c | 697.11$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.37 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Washington Nationals | 34c | 675$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.5 | 440 | 58.9%259 W · 181 L | +29.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3afb…0004backed New York Mets | 47c | 636.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.11 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3b…9ed5backed New York Mets | 47c | 636.46$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.07 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed New York Mets | 47c | 634.91$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.92 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked New York Mets | 40c | 626.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.13 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed New York Mets | 46c | 611.26$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.08 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed New York Mets | 45c | 607.2$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.02 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 546.09$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.5 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked New York Mets | 47c | 529.66$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.72 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…3fbcbacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 521.28$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked New York Mets | 65c | 519$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.66 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…836abacked Washington Nationals | 60c | 500.99$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.59 | 213 | 23.5%50 W · 163 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Washington Nationals | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Washington Nationals | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked New York Mets | 54c | 498.15$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.15 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed New York Mets | 56c | 496.44$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.29 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…61a0backed New York Mets | 68c | 493.75$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.75 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
- New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)New York Mets won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Washington NationalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.