TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7585…ea79

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
121
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: La Liga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT4542.2%19 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.59
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$355.96
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,837Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,836.79
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,773Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,773
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$70.98
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$59.4
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,817Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+121.1%+$2,199.39
New York Yankees vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,620Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,380
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.31
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$788Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$788.43
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,381Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,380.98
New York Yankees vs. New York Metsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.64
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.26
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,955Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$3,611.85
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.99
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$4,297Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$1,841.7
New York Yankees vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$586Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$585.95
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.76
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.76
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.63
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+113.5%+$154.68
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT2025%5 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-44%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$792Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$792
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$5,953Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,953.28
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.84
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.52
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$4,372Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,371.9
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,796Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,795.56
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+82.3%+$65.44
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$813Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$813.12
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35.7
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,403Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,402.94
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$693Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$1,231.36
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$414.72
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.24
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,274Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$780.9
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,010.24
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,808Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,808.4
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.96
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$492.74
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$4,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,279.87
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.1
All 20 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+52.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$90.16
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$131.87
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$918Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$229.4
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.92
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.85
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,983Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,982.84
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$160.93
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,357Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$7,889.2
Will Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$3,228Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,227.79
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,182Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+142.3%+$3,105.39
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.64
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$13.44
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.38
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$100.65
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.92
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$467.88
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$195.28
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.54
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$497.51
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.18
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$643Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$669.63
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.76
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$248
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.4
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.6
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$69.2
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.92
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,672Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,671.95
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+43%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$759Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$239.76
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,262Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,261.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$45.08
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.