MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea651920fa0cb7f311036a29e34366e81d1b9acfc7fcbd8cca59bf8900c71fdc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Atlanta Braves, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $900,941
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,027,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $900,941 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 479 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 167,041$67,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,965.04 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 122,389$60,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,086.8 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…4c4fbacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 112,520$61,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,326.38 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd959…daf7backed Miami Marlins | 74c | 82,524$60,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,542.99 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 69,565$36,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,549 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 43,560$22,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,908.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 39,689$20,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,447.67 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 36,082$18,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,680.3 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…36c4backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 33,333$16,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,333.1 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,700 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,699.98 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 26,366$13,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,296.55 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 20,408$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 19,828$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef5…dc05backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 19,793$9,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,698.81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 19,449$9,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,368.82 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 14,718$7,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,170.48 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 14,629$7,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,314.5 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Atlanta Braves | 39c | 12,661$4,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,941.76 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 10,000$4,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,804.75 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Atlanta Braves | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.92 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.92 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Braves | 41c | 9,568$3,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,921.38 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 9,019$3,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,974.81 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 7,826$3,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,834.64 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Atlanta Braves | 5c | 6,900$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.67 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Atlanta Braves | 39c | 6,375$2,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,486.25 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 6,367$3,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,056.14 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 5,729$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.86 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 5,615$2,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,752.88 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Atlanta Braves | 1c | 4,519$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcf…63bdbacked Atlanta Braves | 1c | 4,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 4,166$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.68 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 4,150$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,116.66 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 3,633$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.32 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…698dbacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 3,604$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765.72 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 3,266$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.31 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 3,134$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.1 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 2,821$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.13 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Atlanta Braves | 29c | 2,226$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.49 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…6e97backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 2,127$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 2,119$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.92 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 2,019$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.55 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…2819backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 1,856$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.2 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 1,712$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 1,670$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.25 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cff…eeb8backed Atlanta Braves | 3c | 1,552$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.17 | 70 | 10%7 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Atlanta Braves | 31c | 1,547$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.47 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 1,540$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.99 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Miami Marlins | 75c | 1,534$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.3 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 1,464$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.23 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 1,400$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Atlanta Braves | 1c | 1,309$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Atlanta Braves | 33c | 1,302$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.65 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 1,151$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.23 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 1,095$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.68 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Miami Marlins | 64c | 1,075$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.61 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Miami Marlins | 76c | 1,029$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.97 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 1,026$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.78 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…add3backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…8f34backed Atlanta Braves | 8c | 1,007$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.27 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 1,005$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.6 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 1,000$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.04 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Atlanta Braves | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…3f0bbacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…b16ebacked Atlanta Braves | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 979.59$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 976.86$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Atlanta Braves | 13c | 929.48$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.9 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 920.45$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 914.18$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.87 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 913.73$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.49 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 908$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.39 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 899.99$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 859.18$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Atlanta Braves | 39c | 804.66$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.82 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…2450backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 798.97$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a2…3c41backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 158 | 57%90 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1332…2b23backed Atlanta Braves | 4c | 774.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 114 | 31.6%36 W · 78 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3afb…0004backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 767.77$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.56 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Miami Marlins | 64c | 743.69$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.65 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x276e…e914backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 736.23$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 735.98$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.55 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 730.87$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.82 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 696.73$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.79 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Miami Marlins | 69c | 684.97$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.54 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 621.34$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.75 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 615.38$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.38 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90db…03d6backed Atlanta Braves | 7c | 606.76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 10.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 11.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 12.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Miami MarlinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.