TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Miami Marlinsof Atlanta Braves, Miami Marlins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,148
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,358

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,148 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd5e…9040backed Atlanta Braves29c1,552$452 inLost-$452.411,88453%998 W · 886 L+16.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Atlanta Braves23c1,129$260 inLost-$260.273,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins77c1,119$860 inWon+$259.1110,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Miami Marlins69c545.19$376 inWon+$169.0130647.4%145 W · 161 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins69c500$345 inWon+$1559,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins79c294.24$232 inWon+$61.798,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Miami Marlins74c269.4$200 inWon+$69.714,51548.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L-46.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves29c264.71$78 inLost-$77.544,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Atlanta Braves30c225.4$68 inLost-$67.6229344.7%131 W · 162 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Atlanta Braves31c200$63 inLost-$62.882,31052.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L+27.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Miami Marlins70c120.06$84 inWon+$36.398,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Miami Marlins71c116$82 inWon+$33.6420044.5%89 W · 111 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Miami Marlins67c100$67 inWon+$3361652.8%325 W · 291 L+31.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Miami Marlins70c76.46$54 inWon+$22.8737357.4%214 W · 159 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Miami Marlins69c72.46$50 inWon+$22.4657548%276 W · 299 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Miami Marlins69c72.46$50 inWon+$22.4630452%158 W · 146 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c76…862dbacked Miami Marlins73c50.53$37 inWon+$13.8510343.7%45 W · 58 L-9.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Miami Marlins69c40.75$28 inWon+$12.6367653.1%359 W · 317 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Miami Marlins72c35.84$26 inWon+$10.299947.5%475 W · 524 L-3.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Miami Marlins71c35.21$25 inWon+$10.2113672.1%98 W · 38 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick74cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1508…0648backed Miami Marlins71c31.79$23 inWon+$9.22650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Miami Marlins70c20.47$14 inWon+$6.141,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.