MLB · resolved market

Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x105e93c01134d7d8877675ae623d5c1198b05ac5501a51b51bc5533c91bfd58e

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: May 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $25,081
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $25,057

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,081 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x27f7…44b0backed Over	49c	13,732$6,729 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,003.32	925	54.1%500 W · 425 L	+23.5wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under	51c	13,460$6,864 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,864.37	283	50.9%144 W · 139 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over	48c	1,417$680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$737.03	2,407	48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L	-62.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under	52c	1,014$527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$527.03	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed Under	52c	962.03$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	227	53.3%121 W · 106 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over	48c	805.03$386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$418.62	737	48.4%357 W · 380 L	-7.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over	48c	803.99$386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$418.08	2,375	47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	51c	800$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408	6,999	50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Over	49c	786.98$386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$401.36	124	49.2%61 W · 63 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	63c	744.44$469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$468.88	12,328	46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L	-66.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e71…52d1backed Over	48c	655.63$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340.93	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over	40c	522.82$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$315.82	2,243	57.6%1,293 W · 950 L	+37.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Over	48c	499.98$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$259.99	550	52.4%288 W · 262 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cd3…5896backed Under	51c	489.98$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.89	174	46%80 W · 94 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1da3…2f94backed Under	52c	480.77$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	93	54.8%51 W · 42 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	48c	450$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234	8,403	47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L	+76.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under	51c	400.1$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.05	1,062	49.2%523 W · 539 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a51…bf14backed Over	49c	398$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$202.98	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+97.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52ba…7212backed Under	52c	397.85$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.88	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf98f…e563backed Under	52c	375$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2528…a7d1backed Over	49c	373.38$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.42	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	43c	318.84$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.24	10,979	51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L	+139.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Under	52c	300$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156	252	49.2%124 W · 128 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Under	57c	277.97$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.88	591	50.3%297 W · 294 L	+9.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under	56c	268.03$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	575	48%276 W · 299 L	-17.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over	48c	259.99$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.2	1,769	51.6%912 W · 857 L	+16.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Under	52c	250$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	267	59.2%158 W · 109 L	+17.0wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over	38c	228.26$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.84	8,594	52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L	+508.9wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over	49c	205$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.55	726	48.1%349 W · 377 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Under	51c	200$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0b…4e72backed Under	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+2.6wins	+0.22per pick	53cpaid	+39.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Over	49c	158.06$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.61	301	55.1%166 W · 135 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d09…7dfbbacked Over	33c	103.03$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.03	330	32.7%108 W · 222 L	-22.8wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Over	32c	100$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68	827	41.1%340 W · 487 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Over	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	846	51.5%436 W · 410 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over	33c	83.71$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.79	5,149	54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L	+231.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under	51c	80.1$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.85	252	49.6%125 W · 127 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x341b…b92cbacked Over	49c	79.27$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.43	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dea…5e23backed Over	48c	73.01$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.96	425	50.1%213 W · 212 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over	48c	73$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.96	722	47.6%344 W · 378 L	-12.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x523c…2c05backed Under	51c	70$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.7	130	53.1%69 W · 61 L	-11.0wins	-0.08per pick	62cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under	61c	64$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.04	946	48.9%463 W · 483 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	57c	58.71$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.72	8,192	46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L	+38.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x368c…e8d5backed Under	52c	58.1$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.21	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4204…165abacked Under	52c	57.69$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over	42c	52.82$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.63	11,519	52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L	+213.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over	48c	48.92$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.44	2,947	51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L	-34.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Over	45c	47.17$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.94	1,374	54.2%745 W · 629 L	+16.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05b7…c24abacked Over	48c	44.39$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.08	280	43.2%121 W · 159 L	-23.2wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa151…03b0backed Under	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-3.9wins	-0.28per pick	42cpaid	-68.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Under	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	625	54.2%339 W · 286 L	+18.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed Over	45c	32.61$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.94	246	46.7%115 W · 131 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	42c	31.93$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.47	6,123	55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L	+346.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Under	52c	28.06$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.59	661	59.5%393 W · 268 L	+3.1wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x59b4…73e0backed Under	57c	26.32$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99d5…9622backed Over	49c	25.55$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.03	76	43.4%33 W · 43 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7268…78abbacked Over	49c	24$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.24	200	40%80 W · 120 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc50…7fdebacked Over	49c	21.16$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.79	65	46.2%30 W · 35 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under	52c	21$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.92	802	55%441 W · 361 L	+24.2wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eda…fb8ebacked Over	49c	21$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.71	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+2.3wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+10%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under	52c	20.9$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.87	704	55%387 W · 317 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under	65c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	1,279	51.2%655 W · 624 L	-19.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5this page
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami MarlinsMiami Marlins won
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 10.5Over won
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 11.5Over won
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 12.5Under won
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5Over won
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Over won
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Over won
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Over won
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Miami MarlinsNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event