TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x99d5…9622

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
219
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst Cricket at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT9649%47 W · 49 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 96 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.73
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.1
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$15.51
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.26
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.33
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.2
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.33
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.27
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.19
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.26
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$231.76
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.23
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$106.11
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$12.24
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+92.9%+$26.01
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.28
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$36
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.95
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
Showing 25 of 96 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT7643.4%33 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.9
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$14.57
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.09
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.37
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.45
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+84.9%+$9.69
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.59
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$18.56
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$18.36
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$14.57
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$12
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.6
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$4.38
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.71
Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$13
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$27.89
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$11.75
Flames vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.75
Penguins vs. Devilsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.05
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.72
Utah vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
Flyers vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Nagoya Grampus vs. Cerezo Ōsaka: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$11.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.71
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$12.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eyüpspor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a dozen eggs cost <$2.00 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.