Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in March 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ee8be11cc1e658495f2b6f197d551eb6d54b08b7fdb8e9b31c0b12ee0f37abd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $485,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $442,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $485,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 2c | 10,595$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.5 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 4c | 6,977$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.73 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe243…af59backed Yes | 1c | 6,131$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.44 | 364 | 11%40 W · 324 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 0c | 5,222$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 350 | 24%84 W · 266 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 3c | 4,912$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.91 | 124 | 9.7%12 W · 112 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb831…892bbacked Yes | 3c | 4,366$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.31 | 179 | 17.9%32 W · 147 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8275…d327backed Yes | 6c | 3,448$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0393…0769backed Yes | 6c | 3,295$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b0…30f4backed Yes | 6c | 2,842$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6f…4102backed Yes | 6c | 2,651$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e04…7cbdbacked Yes | 6c | 2,609$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb58e…b54cbacked Yes | 6c | 2,512$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…c125backed Yes | 3c | 2,502$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 846 | 16.4%139 W · 707 L | +24.6wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 2,444$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.87 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 9c | 2,283$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.22 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…5993backed Yes | 6c | 2,193$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72dc…c790backed Yes | 6c | 2,029$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…4f23backed Yes | 6c | 1,983$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf596…941ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,953$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af8…ec2cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,903$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 4cpaid | +941.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcefd…ff7bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,884$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c2…1bbebacked Yes | 6c | 1,883$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c49…5b45backed Yes | 6c | 1,834$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…bb28backed Yes | 7c | 1,823$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b68…95efbacked Yes | 6c | 1,822$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aae…7a75backed Yes | 6c | 1,800$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4032…e318backed Yes | 6c | 1,799$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a47…7599backed Yes | 3c | 1,769$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36cb…63d0backed Yes | 1c | 1,750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 282 | 11%31 W · 251 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c19…ee7ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,740$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…ce23backed Yes | 7c | 1,679$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b99…fe54backed Yes | 7c | 1,596$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…d6f4backed Yes | 6c | 1,595$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes | 2c | 1,568$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 427 | 19.2%82 W · 345 L | +23.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c7…c1dfbacked Yes | 6c | 1,566$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…0fa8backed Yes | 6c | 1,544$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 4c | 1,491$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.84 | 412 | 30.8%127 W · 285 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf36…82b8backed Yes | 7c | 1,490$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec9d…4142backed Yes | 6c | 1,489$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cd…e78bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,485$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc793…4a57backed Yes | 7c | 1,470$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89c…7cc7backed Yes | 8c | 1,448$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…0e8dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,409$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…eac2backed Yes | 6c | 1,386$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…8488backed Yes | 6c | 1,374$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…2b1fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,326$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…96c5backed Yes | 7c | 1,325$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7043…80afbacked Yes | 7c | 1,320$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 5cpaid | +941.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c4…82d5backed Yes | 5c | 1,300$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes | 3c | 1,295$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 50 | 6%3 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…2ec7backed Yes | 3c | 1,294$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 142 | 19.7%28 W · 114 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 6c | 1,285$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.17 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d30…33c8backed Yes | 7c | 1,283$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0574…fd94backed Yes | 6c | 1,281$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb67a…2152backed Yes | 6c | 1,272$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fc…7d75backed Yes | 6c | 1,244$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0503…a390backed Yes | 6c | 1,238$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,228$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe86d…2a21backed Yes | 6c | 1,201$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x971b…ddcdbacked Yes | 8c | 1,179$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda7b…6a04backed Yes | 8c | 1,146$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d15…5175backed Yes | 6c | 1,129$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0621…2d28backed Yes | 6c | 1,111$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f8…58edbacked Yes | 7c | 1,102$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c4…0ff0backed Yes | 6c | 1,102$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7763…569cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,087$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8f…2a02backed Yes | 6c | 1,080$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…97cdbacked Yes | 5c | 1,067$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…5a39backed Yes | 6c | 1,065$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa75e…72a7backed Yes | 6c | 1,040$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a3…f38dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,032$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 5c | 1,024$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 175 | 6.9%12 W · 163 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…7615backed Yes | 8c | 1,012$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…e07abacked Yes | 3c | 1,004$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 781 | 11.3%88 W · 693 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 1,002$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 1,053 | 5.6%59 W · 994 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1d…30e0backed Yes | 8c | 995$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 4c | 978.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 1,038 | 11.1%115 W · 923 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d4…b875backed Yes | 7c | 964$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb81…d4d3backed Yes | 5c | 963$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe698…a6c9backed Yes | 5c | 963$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa13a…5498backed Yes | 8c | 960$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29e1…29f8backed Yes | 7c | 953.42$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.28 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd689…ed1fbacked Yes | 5c | 952$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…5b6abacked Yes | 4c | 952$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa22c…6a97backed Yes | 7c | 950$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +371.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a41…cda7backed Yes | 7c | 948$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…19d5backed Yes | 7c | 942$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee1f…ad21backed Yes | 8c | 940$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9f…a695backed Yes | 7c | 940$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3dc…2a22backed Yes | 5c | 937$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0355…8193backed Yes | 8c | 919$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…93b8backed Yes | 5c | 915$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +363%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b8…3418backed Yes | 5c | 915$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09c6…eea4backed Yes | 5c | 893$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68e…3ebabacked Yes | 5c | 867.71$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9743…8375backed Yes | 7c | 867$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c2…c1e6backed Yes | 6c | 862$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…e73cbacked Yes | 4c | 840$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf692…d35cbacked Yes | 6c | 837$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf007…02e9backed Yes | 8c | 835$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in March 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in March 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 600-639 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 640-679 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 680-719 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in March 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.