Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in March 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x044f3ae5fdf246b4b5f8ff4233cea15c083932cd019bc25410d027b87a927df7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $240,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $203,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8974…fc30backed Yes | 11c | 4,074$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21cb…5f69backed Yes | 9c | 3,686$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe5…a425backed Yes | 10c | 2,934$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8008…f88dbacked Yes | 11c | 2,908$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 17c | 2,845$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.41 | 706 | 16.4%116 W · 590 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c91…f06abacked Yes | 10c | 2,840$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd97f…7705backed Yes | 10c | 2,714$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…87d0backed Yes | 10c | 2,684$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17f2…ed98backed Yes | 10c | 2,554$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 12c | 2,283$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.93 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ac…ff7fbacked Yes | 11c | 2,234$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 11c | 2,173$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.01 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x192c…184fbacked Yes | 23c | 2,133$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 6c | 2,031$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.57 | 124 | 9.7%12 W · 112 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3173…d433backed Yes | 10c | 1,910$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14bf…fcacbacked Yes | 11c | 1,854$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55cd…9ffabacked Yes | 10c | 1,779$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c4…a54abacked Yes | 10c | 1,774$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6af9…407dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,648$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…f7c3backed Yes | 9c | 1,600$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.03 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9f…134fbacked Yes | 11c | 1,587$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 1,569$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.24 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8142…f108backed Yes | 11c | 1,550$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc024…5907backed Yes | 10c | 1,464$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29e1…29f8backed Yes | 10c | 1,446$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.21 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…df54backed Yes | 12c | 1,416$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…7b39backed Yes | 10c | 1,354$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6f…2c98backed Yes | 10c | 1,327$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes | 4c | 1,307$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.46 | 427 | 19.2%82 W · 345 L | +23.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…3630backed Yes | 10c | 1,306$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 9c | 1,293$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.34 | 175 | 6.9%12 W · 163 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd6…df61backed Yes | 12c | 1,276$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05fd…ddc1backed Yes | 10c | 1,245$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e1…7858backed Yes | 10c | 1,244$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e5…441dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,238$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +107.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…416bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,233$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes | 18c | 1,200$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.8 | 509 | 13.8%70 W · 439 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…22e5backed Yes | 12c | 1,150$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae2…1adebacked Yes | 10c | 1,129$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b95…91d5backed Yes | 10c | 1,124$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa490…bf7ebacked Yes | 17c | 1,111$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.5 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5330…99cfbacked Yes | 12c | 1,094$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad6…0b82backed Yes | 10c | 1,033$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b6…9ff5backed Yes | 10c | 1,002$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 6c | 987.48$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.73 | 1,038 | 11.1%115 W · 923 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf770…b9afbacked Yes | 12c | 970$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85fe…4d47backed Yes | 10c | 934$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…9161backed Yes | 10c | 868$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x992f…e58abacked Yes | 10c | 865$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…c125backed Yes | 20c | 861.88$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.4 | 846 | 16.4%139 W · 707 L | +24.6wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7158…4eaebacked Yes | 10c | 841$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1c…fe97backed Yes | 10c | 813$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 18c | 757.85$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.43 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 8c | 747.18$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.12 | 121 | 6.6%8 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd31b…4648backed Yes | 12c | 722$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b6…90a8backed Yes | 6c | 715.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04bc…5377backed Yes | 22c | 695.06$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccd…ec51backed Yes | 11c | 686$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2d…3862backed Yes | 10c | 674$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd7…fe1dbacked Yes | 10c | 667$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb831…892bbacked Yes | 13c | 621$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.39 | 179 | 17.9%32 W · 147 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x375a…8d6bbacked Yes | 11c | 620$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 611.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 1,053 | 5.6%59 W · 994 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…d42cbacked Yes | 10c | 605$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1a…fea8backed Yes | 11c | 603$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…7f66backed Yes | 10c | 599.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 197 | 26.9%53 W · 144 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 21c | 568.26$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.53 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8335…71a6backed Yes | 10c | 532$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…0f6abacked Yes | 19c | 528.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 18%16 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedcd…3e7bbacked Yes | 10c | 517$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…7e35backed Yes | 3c | 499.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd318…a9b9backed Yes | 8c | 479.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…1a70backed Yes | 11c | 451$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf20…67aebacked Yes | 7c | 400.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…998cbacked Yes | 25c | 392.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92ba…bfa4backed Yes | 3c | 390.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed Yes | 5c | 389.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 72c | 366.32$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.41 | 503 | 19.5%98 W · 405 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d7…1218backed Yes | 6c | 345.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 160 | 13.1%21 W · 139 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ad…2dbbbacked Yes | 5c | 334.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 154 | 30.5%47 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…10afbacked Yes | 15c | 331.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…ef05backed Yes | 25c | 322.79$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.15 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2e…41eabacked Yes | 11c | 319.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 136 | 14.7%20 W · 116 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3c…ff9abacked Yes | 6c | 310.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 87 | 12.6%11 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…e07abacked Yes | 14c | 309.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 781 | 11.3%88 W · 693 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0c…df3cbacked Yes | 15c | 300$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 280 | 34.3%96 W · 184 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…a429backed Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 317 | 22.4%71 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4473…28adbacked Yes | 12c | 300$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 184 | 19%35 W · 149 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 11c | 295.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…b983backed No | 77c | 289.84$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +134.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb68e…3ebabacked Yes | 17c | 286.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7849…da97backed Yes | 22c | 278.84$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 341 | 27.3%93 W · 248 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67da…440ebacked Yes | 23c | 264.74$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.23 | 211 | 6.6%14 W · 197 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c30…a7fcbacked Yes | 17c | 263.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +155.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…7e5abacked Yes | 5c | 252.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 291 | 13.1%38 W · 253 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3b…08c6backed Yes | 8c | 250$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9e…7883backed Yes | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 70 | 10%7 W · 63 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422a…dc4bbacked Yes | 12c | 235.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…e9a6backed Yes | 16c | 227.17$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…f259backed Yes | 7c | 223.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in March 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in March 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 600-639 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 640-679 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 680-719 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in March 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.