Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in March 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x874f498db7c6a29dba96b8d9fdd14c311c35b1b999606d0239c66adb030465dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $793,498
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $757,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $793,498 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 355 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 14c | 8,029$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.45 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes | 3c | 5,765$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.67 | 327 | 16.8%55 W · 272 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…a764backed Yes | 10c | 4,272$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7aa…19f1backed Yes | 11c | 3,709$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x221a…b2b0backed Yes | 13c | 3,686$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x265c…7e6bbacked Yes | 10c | 3,600$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc14…95e1backed Yes | 13c | 3,590$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5c…926abacked Yes | 12c | 3,525$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…1b42backed Yes | 10c | 3,453$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x736a…c882backed Yes | 10c | 3,437$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4751…3609backed Yes | 10c | 3,392$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f06…a9d9backed Yes | 10c | 3,289$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 12c | 3,284$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.76 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 6c | 3,276$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.16 | 124 | 9.7%12 W · 112 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa83a…bd1abacked Yes | 6c | 3,079$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc024…5907backed Yes | 8c | 3,030$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…4804backed Yes | 10c | 3,007$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe97…d3dfbacked Yes | 10c | 2,940$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4200…2729backed Yes | 5c | 2,928$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb81…d4d3backed Yes | 10c | 2,894$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…e6cebacked Yes | 10c | 2,783$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0208…7c2abacked Yes | 10c | 2,768$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56bd…dee9backed Yes | 10c | 2,732$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…7313backed Yes | 6c | 2,712$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ee…f08cbacked Yes | 7c | 2,594$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc86…5f9fbacked Yes | 10c | 2,562$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa47a…4b4cbacked Yes | 10c | 2,517$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a8…1c13backed Yes | 10c | 2,461$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfc…7e1cbacked Yes | 6c | 2,434$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…4b9dbacked Yes | 7c | 2,430$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3943…f3c1backed Yes | 9c | 2,363$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba65…3977backed Yes | 10c | 2,319$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf145…8fdabacked Yes | 8c | 2,302$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…be04backed Yes | 7c | 2,286$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 33c | 2,273$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.54 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b3…ef7ebacked Yes | 6c | 2,187$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…c802backed Yes | 9c | 2,140$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…19d5backed Yes | 11c | 2,102$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…ed69backed Yes | 10c | 2,097$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…6f55backed Yes | 9c | 2,054$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c9…9d7ebacked Yes | 6c | 2,031$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5186…0abebacked Yes | 6c | 2,006$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff8…ca48backed Yes | 9c | 1,941$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce4b…2389backed Yes | 7c | 1,941$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb145…3e70backed Yes | 13c | 1,932$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c9…8ab7backed Yes | 7c | 1,912$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2923…4226backed Yes | 13c | 1,904$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0bc…1e74backed Yes | 6c | 1,893$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…4421backed Yes | 10c | 1,873$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c3…30d4backed Yes | 10c | 1,773$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9acc…9533backed Yes | 10c | 1,768$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9edb…8e28backed Yes | 7c | 1,768$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 1,745$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.84 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9a…1359backed Yes | 5c | 1,695$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…6f12backed Yes | 6c | 1,692$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6469…b29bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,684$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d10…6fedbacked Yes | 5c | 1,679$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…848abacked Yes | 4c | 1,663$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9829…0ab4backed Yes | 7c | 1,649$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…d79cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,639$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…323cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,635$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e8…a619backed Yes | 13c | 1,635$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…44b4backed Yes | 10c | 1,616$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd66…0755backed Yes | 7c | 1,599$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +575.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0073…3ab0backed Yes | 10c | 1,580$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa7…e738backed Yes | 10c | 1,570$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40cd…8722backed Yes | 9c | 1,557$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0b…d5bebacked Yes | 5c | 1,552$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36ce…b5adbacked Yes | 5c | 1,535$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +171.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66a…08c5backed Yes | 10c | 1,519$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0b…7e3bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,507$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x408f…cd18backed Yes | 10c | 1,480$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…c578backed Yes | 6c | 1,467$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +171.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5a…66d7backed Yes | 7c | 1,452$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccef…12aebacked Yes | 6c | 1,450$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05fd…ddc1backed Yes | 10c | 1,448$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a9…e623backed Yes | 10c | 1,435$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…b4bcbacked Yes | 10c | 1,431$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…f084backed Yes | 7c | 1,431$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb158…d295backed Yes | 10c | 1,429$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…2ce5backed Yes | 8c | 1,421$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a85…6adbbacked Yes | 10c | 1,392$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…81a5backed Yes | 5c | 1,351$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…1a22backed Yes | 9c | 1,340$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80bb…f038backed Yes | 5c | 1,336$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd109…3637backed Yes | 6c | 1,335$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b15…986cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,333$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…6fa8backed Yes | 10c | 1,314$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9a…308cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,311$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…738abacked Yes | 5c | 1,310$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe95b…b218backed Yes | 5c | 1,304$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8335…71a6backed Yes | 6c | 1,298$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecb…ea84backed Yes | 10c | 1,288$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…6e8cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,284$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31bf…1590backed Yes | 3c | 1,279$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4632…8f1bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,277$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf64…89b9backed Yes | 6c | 1,270$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639d…76ddbacked Yes | 7c | 1,250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…fdfcbacked Yes | 10c | 1,244$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55cd…9ffabacked Yes | 9c | 1,237$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in March 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in March 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 600-639 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 640-679 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 680-719 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in March 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.