Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in March 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3fff2cd8da52774a2c06a09535a5fb81fc9f65add5a2c08d69be6ac832c48b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $460,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $439,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $460,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3d4…2872backed Yes | 11c | 5,843$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,223.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +843.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…f22bbacked Yes | 11c | 4,225$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,777.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +843.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd6…4faabacked Yes | 10c | 3,802$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,440.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 10cpaid | +952.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc9…a089backed Yes | 11c | 3,468$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +843.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 18c | 3,427$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.15 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f65…3924backed Yes | 9c | 3,128$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,846.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,012.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 18c | 3,042$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,482.21 | 706 | 16.4%116 W · 590 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d97…d3a9backed Yes | 10c | 2,841$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3f…545dbacked Yes | 11c | 2,772$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,478.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +843.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1df…a9f4backed Yes | 9c | 2,686$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,452.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,049.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4557…7d15backed Yes | 10c | 2,650$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,372.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +855.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…7e98backed Yes | 11c | 2,620$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,331.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3366…27e0backed Yes | 11c | 2,609$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,322.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…ca67backed Yes | 9c | 2,528$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +431.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0e…b741backed Yes | 10c | 2,522$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,259.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +861.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…56f4backed Yes | 9c | 2,497$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +474.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x369f…55d0backed Yes | 9c | 2,471$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,256.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,049.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9559…42e5backed Yes | 11c | 2,453$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,192.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +371.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…fbb0backed Yes | 9c | 2,398$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +431.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x808f…6efbbacked Yes | 9c | 2,397$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,188.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +474.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437a…b2c1backed Yes | 10c | 2,274$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,037.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +861.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 32c | 2,273$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.12 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…dff6backed Yes | 10c | 2,259$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 6cpaid | +250.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…95b5backed Yes | 9c | 2,251$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,049.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bed…b829backed Yes | 11c | 2,206$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,965.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +129.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd05…ec7cbacked Yes | 11c | 2,204$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,963.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +358.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…9bc6backed Yes | 11c | 2,197$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,957.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +817.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2f…2e1ebacked Yes | 9c | 2,188$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +987%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa4…805ebacked Yes | 9c | 2,179$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +431.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52bf…840fbacked Yes | 10c | 2,093$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +380.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec2…5a6dbacked Yes | 9c | 2,092$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +431.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2a…cc99backed Yes | 9c | 2,089$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,896.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +262.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…60fdbacked Yes | 9c | 2,079$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +262.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c42…adf2backed Yes | 11c | 2,061$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +371.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9529…923cbacked Yes | 9c | 2,053$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +963.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc38…b96bbacked Yes | 11c | 2,026$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f7…5903backed Yes | 9c | 1,994$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +283.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…d2d9backed Yes | 11c | 1,987$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +819.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa59e…d98cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,968$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +819.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eda…0425backed Yes | 9c | 1,961$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +443.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba7…47a0backed Yes | 9c | 1,936$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,757.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +987%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e92…7558backed Yes | 9c | 1,921$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +474.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…4a05backed Yes | 9c | 1,899$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,049.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…ee2abacked Yes | 9c | 1,882$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +992.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…c578backed Yes | 9c | 1,879$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +171.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ce…b5adbacked Yes | 9c | 1,877$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +171.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68f…e9f6backed Yes | 8c | 1,804$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,182.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe686…832bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,770$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 7cpaid | +371.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2417…c8cdbacked Yes | 9c | 1,761$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 7cpaid | +283.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x009f…32febacked Yes | 9c | 1,722$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,062.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x738a…4288backed Yes | 9c | 1,671$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +445.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5073…144cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,604$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,049.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 12c | 1,589$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.55 | 102 | 7.8%8 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2beb…066ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,546$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +843.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…c008backed Yes | 11c | 1,517$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +843.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a21…6df3backed Yes | 11c | 1,513$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +843.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 8c | 1,482$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.4 | 124 | 9.7%12 W · 112 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…b25abacked Yes | 9c | 1,417$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +431.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82d…f311backed Yes | 11c | 1,385$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +359.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ea…57e8backed Yes | 9c | 1,375$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +963.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x589d…99a4backed Yes | 9c | 1,366$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 6cpaid | +262.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0913…a5d6backed Yes | 9c | 1,364$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +278.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf56…6944backed Yes | 11c | 1,330$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 9cpaid | +363%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa22c…6a97backed Yes | 11c | 1,317$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +371.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a4…8c7bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,313$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +171.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5682…9114backed Yes | 11c | 1,295$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +371.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5a…5e87backed Yes | 9c | 1,294$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,062.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3782…6e25backed Yes | 11c | 1,286$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 11cpaid | +371.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd66…0755backed Yes | 7c | 1,269$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +575.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…7f66backed Yes | 8c | 1,263$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.02 | 197 | 26.9%53 W · 144 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6095…db53backed Yes | 9c | 1,254$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +431.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b09…d445backed Yes | 9c | 1,203$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +987%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…c125backed Yes | 20c | 1,200$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.62 | 846 | 16.4%139 W · 707 L | +24.6wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64df…56cabacked Yes | 9c | 1,174$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +975.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6230…d6c3backed Yes | 9c | 1,173$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +443.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x687b…f8a7backed Yes | 5c | 1,171$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.17 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 7cpaid | +237.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…8aacbacked Yes | 9c | 1,160$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +963.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc501…0e55backed Yes | 8c | 1,141$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,182.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86d2…e5bdbacked Yes | 9c | 1,135$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +254.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac7…4cf9backed Yes | 11c | 1,078$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +371.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0489…ddf7backed Yes | 13c | 1,054$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.42 | 199 | 27.6%55 W · 144 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc76f…1e97backed Yes | 7c | 1,042$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,251.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 7c | 1,035$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.82 | 1,038 | 11.1%115 W · 923 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6915…2354backed Yes | 8c | 1,024$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 8cpaid | +541%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfe…9fa8backed Yes | 9c | 1,019$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +448.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a44…cc54backed Yes | 9c | 1,013$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +258.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x395a…e221backed Yes | 9c | 997$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +254.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 7c | 991$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.95 | 175 | 6.9%12 W · 163 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x407a…6585backed Yes | 9c | 981$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +168.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…fb4dbacked Yes | 9c | 979$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +975.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f8…8e61backed Yes | 9c | 979$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +963.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1f80backed Yes | 11c | 974$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 927$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.29 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2a…39e0backed Yes | 11c | 891$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 9cpaid | +214.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e36…1709backed Yes | 9c | 883$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,011.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…e969backed Yes | 9c | 875$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…f1b0backed Yes | 9c | 859$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,011.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…5f20backed Yes | 11c | 858$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +843.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b54…34ebbacked Yes | 9c | 853$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 8cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1f…fa20backed Yes | 9c | 848$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +975.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in March 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 600-639 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 640-679 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 680-719 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in March 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.