Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in March 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bb1d32157040cafa1005b7046b211b15c9b9f29944c58a6aaf5c72942831004
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $393,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $315,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $393,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e2f…55cabacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 117 | 30.8%36 W · 81 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 3c | 4,578$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.09 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x258a…395bbacked Yes | 3c | 3,864$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d3…aa78backed Yes | 3c | 2,713$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5d…a7f9backed Yes | 4c | 2,675$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff0…d4e9backed Yes | 7c | 2,567$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…5b6abacked Yes | 3c | 2,443$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…a613backed Yes | 3c | 2,399$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6f…a5a6backed Yes | 3c | 2,280$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b8…a932backed Yes | 3c | 2,202$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…bb85backed Yes | 3c | 2,182$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab40…9326backed Yes | 3c | 2,153$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…e73cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,118$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed5e…326fbacked Yes | 4c | 2,114$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 2c | 1,934$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 124 | 9.7%12 W · 112 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…174cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,918$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…17bcbacked Yes | 3c | 1,917$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae8…b915backed Yes | 3c | 1,906$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299a…8606backed Yes | 7c | 1,808$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…b2d0backed Yes | 3c | 1,794$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…2bc8backed Yes | 7c | 1,783$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaac1…d64bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,746$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…009cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,743$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6469…b29bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,733$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735b…196abacked Yes | 4c | 1,715$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb3…34b7backed Yes | 3c | 1,714$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4164…cde6backed Yes | 4c | 1,710$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1205…50aabacked Yes | 3c | 1,658$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d72…5861backed Yes | 1c | 1,627$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…aa4ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,617$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd438…ce1abacked Yes | 7c | 1,608$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c63…0fe0backed Yes | 2c | 1,606$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…2014backed Yes | 6c | 1,535$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca46…9203backed Yes | 3c | 1,492$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba65…3977backed Yes | 3c | 1,447$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d72…1a00backed Yes | 7c | 1,436$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf98…f2b6backed Yes | 7c | 1,403$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f78…2e44backed Yes | 7c | 1,342$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6921…a53cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,342$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f8…ab26backed Yes | 3c | 1,267$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d64…ee82backed Yes | 3c | 1,256$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1e…d1acbacked Yes | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdb…dd36backed Yes | 3c | 1,244$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff8…6d63backed Yes | 6c | 1,235$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aec…ff50backed Yes | 3c | 1,207$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed3…44d6backed Yes | 4c | 1,207$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…e07abacked Yes | 1c | 1,199$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 781 | 11.3%88 W · 693 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,167$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb140…8641backed Yes | 4c | 1,151$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f06…a9d9backed Yes | 3c | 1,150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaea…4b01backed Yes | 5c | 1,144$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x590f…339dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,128$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0206…ef6abacked Yes | 4c | 1,123$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54fb…c141backed Yes | 6c | 1,106$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d73…bfdabacked Yes | 5c | 1,099$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bb…e279backed Yes | 5c | 1,097$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed49…4619backed Yes | 4c | 1,093$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…a130backed Yes | 4c | 1,086$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 3c | 1,080$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 1,038 | 11.1%115 W · 923 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…a937backed Yes | 4c | 1,077$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…8b13backed Yes | 6c | 1,061$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.98 | 135 | 13.3%18 W · 117 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b7…ba48backed Yes | 3c | 1,056$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92bc…bdc0backed Yes | 4c | 1,015$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a1…54ecbacked Yes | 4c | 988$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…f652backed Yes | 3c | 922$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf400…83adbacked Yes | 3c | 909$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…aacdbacked Yes | 4c | 889$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed Yes | 4c | 864.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 4c | 860.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 175 | 6.9%12 W · 163 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e2…70d3backed Yes | 3c | 856$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…c446backed Yes | 4c | 849$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689b…dc54backed Yes | 3c | 800$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5330…99cfbacked Yes | 3c | 775$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdb…9018backed Yes | 4c | 769$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1609…ed5abacked Yes | 3c | 767$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b3…e1f7backed Yes | 3c | 731$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…e6cebacked Yes | 3c | 725$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe89c…9f56backed Yes | 4c | 724$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8a…ca05backed Yes | 4c | 700$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 692.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 1,053 | 5.6%59 W · 994 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c5…b901backed Yes | 3c | 687.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73c…6cf1backed Yes | 4c | 684$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b4…76f1backed Yes | 3c | 650$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf98…95b4backed Yes | 2c | 637.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bd…2033backed Yes | 3c | 606$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…1473backed Yes | 4c | 605$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf638…bfb9backed Yes | 3c | 592$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…7615backed Yes | 4c | 580$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29e1…29f8backed Yes | 8c | 566.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…bd94backed Yes | 3c | 562$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…5827backed Yes | 4c | 554.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 296 | 10.5%31 W · 265 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7942…1e88backed Yes | 6c | 550$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 2c | 544.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 114 | 18.4%21 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.09per pick | 10cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9721…0c3ebacked Yes | 3c | 541.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 108 | 18.5%20 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d9…cd6fbacked Yes | 4c | 529$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x132d…ca43backed Yes | 4c | 517$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82d…f311backed Yes | 4c | 507$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +359.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 504 | 5.2%26 W · 478 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…0c5ebacked Yes | 4c | 455.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +63%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a78…896ebacked Yes | 4c | 373$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in March 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in March 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 600-639 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 640-679 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 680-719 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in March 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in March 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.