Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in March 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde6b384c6f1e3988d88bb50b47d5c1d1cfbcff8304b6edd13a47382e8e2614cc

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $126,132
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $96,027

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,132 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	34c	10,324$3,556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,556.31	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	42c	4,022$1,679 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,679.13	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad0c…df3cbacked Yes	43c	2,292$983 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$982.93	280	34.3%96 W · 184 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	11c	2,283$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.1	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7463…befbbacked Yes	35c	2,099$743 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$743	49	20.4%10 W · 39 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+97.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf74a…a91cbacked Yes	51c	1,959$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$989.77	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	19cpaid	-80.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0489…ddf7backed Yes	37c	1,759$643 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$642.98	199	27.6%55 W · 144 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes	21c	1,744$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366.42	124	9.7%12 W · 112 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-59.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa490…bf7ebacked Yes	28c	1,584$446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445.85	59	10.2%6 W · 53 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x111b…c3c0backed No	56c	1,431$799 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$631.79	47	68.1%32 W · 15 L	+4.4wins	+0.09per pick	59cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	19c	1,182$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.77	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes	31c	1,176$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.36	526	19.8%104 W · 422 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xce7e…e65fbacked Yes	59c	1,000$590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$589.89	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a6…558bbacked Yes	15c	999.94$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.99	181	23.8%43 W · 138 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	27c	979.77$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.13	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes	11c	890.85$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.22	121	14%17 W · 104 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Yes	37c	881.95$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+2.4wins	+0.27per pick	40cpaid	+70.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	13c	835.33$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.48	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6f3…2568backed Yes	39c	809.14$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	20c	800.34$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.14	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ec…998cbacked Yes	65c	770.35$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa782…162fbacked Yes	27c	769.85$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.99	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x519c…8369backed Yes	46c	700$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.5	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aec…1236backed No	61c	679.79$417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$262.83	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	36c	661.53$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.05	592	25.3%150 W · 442 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbbc6…2b42backed No	48c	639.45$308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$331.24	47	70.2%33 W · 14 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	63cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x993f…35cbbacked No	61c	629.65$383 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.73	108	38.9%42 W · 66 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d7…1218backed Yes	2c	629.35$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.98	160	13.1%21 W · 139 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed Yes	22c	621.64$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.12	74	9.5%7 W · 67 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No	51c	615.76$314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$301.3	261	67%175 W · 86 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb831…892bbacked Yes	46c	611.57$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.01	179	17.9%32 W · 147 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-40%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf594…3cb2backed No	56c	601.09$335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.09	40	70%28 W · 12 L	+4.1wins	+0.10per pick	60cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x04bc…5377backed Yes	62c	598.19$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	34cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c30…a7fcbacked Yes	55c	557.3$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.7	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	+155.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c4a…41f4backed Yes	38c	533$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.88	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db0…8c18backed Yes	39c	519.12$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.65	45	57.8%26 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	24c	506.98$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.4	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8abe…61debacked Yes	39c	504.28$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.25	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b2e…41eabacked Yes	52c	503.36$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.25	136	14.7%20 W · 116 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	56c	500$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.6	426	28.2%120 W · 306 L	-38.2wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xabbe…8f37backed Yes	61c	493.87$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	-4.9wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8928…4887backed Yes	59c	488.03$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-3.9wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe6d…0446backed Yes	15c	482.38$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.86	39	41%16 W · 23 L	+4.9wins	+0.13per pick	28cpaid	+48.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe68d…f5b2backed Yes	60c	465.98$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	73	20.5%15 W · 58 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa45b…a237backed Yes	58c	450.57$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.58	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	27cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes	35c	438.01$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.33	195	50.3%98 W · 97 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a43…71afbacked Yes	33c	400$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.04	128	8.6%11 W · 117 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	15c	389.91$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.02	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	30c	350$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.15	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b0…d650backed No	65c	345.25$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.5	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	+5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb68e…3ebabacked Yes	17c	335.63$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.47	96	27.1%26 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	6c	320.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.56	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…b503backed Yes	65c	316.04$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205	16	25%4 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-15%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xfe0b…7341backed No	51c	315.85$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.94	340	8.2%28 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No	71c	314.32$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.32	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No	47c	308.19$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.91	315	65.1%205 W · 110 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaaf2…559cbacked Yes	11c	302.68$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.9	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	22c	300$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.8	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3a6…9e63backed Yes	9c	300$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-46.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	18c	262.57$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.48	175	6.9%12 W · 163 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+45.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0b6…90a8backed Yes	12c	245.54$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	53	13.2%7 W · 46 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x817f…bf28backed No	53c	227.01$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.34	63	47.6%30 W · 33 L	+4.7wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6335…ca2bbacked No	43c	221.75$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.36	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	65cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a28…1df7backed Yes	55c	219.86$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	180	24.4%44 W · 136 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6886…3611backed No	37c	215.48$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.48	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.63per pick	37cpaid	+169.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd85a…615abacked Yes	46c	213.18$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	62c	212.48$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.94	518	45.9%238 W · 280 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e9c…45cdbacked Yes	47c	211.65$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe31e…ec88backed Yes	14c	210.88$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.6	95	33.7%32 W · 63 L	+5.1wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc164…74d4backed Yes	41c	204.99$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.13	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+2.2wins	+0.17per pick	29cpaid	+32%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	6c	200$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8992…f259backed Yes	56c	200$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e0…7b70backed Yes	59c	200$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9551…8c45backed Yes	58c	191.87$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.72	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	64cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	52c	178.51$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.41	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe663…19adbacked Yes	56c	177.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c87…48e7backed Yes	43c	167.76$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.21	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e8c…c39abacked Yes	50c	160.85$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.5	182	18.7%34 W · 148 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x299c…7462backed Yes	57c	153.04$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.96	32	18.8%6 W · 26 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2c3…36eebacked Yes	18c	151.85$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.94	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x774f…8779backed Yes	31c	151$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.54	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe19e…adbfbacked Yes	58c	150$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.6	29	3.4%1 W · 28 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	8cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes	20c	150$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.7	141	53.9%76 W · 65 L	+13.6wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	9c	149.09$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.86	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed Yes	31c	136.65$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.97	249	32.9%82 W · 167 L	-33.4wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0xf577…160ebacked Yes	49c	131.7$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab43…c6cabacked Yes	50c	130$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.52	77	19.5%15 W · 62 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbff8…7073backed Yes	42c	128.96$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.65	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…6e2ebacked Yes	55c	126$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cde…bf31backed Yes	37c	123.16$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.83	34	14.7%5 W · 29 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbb0…27d3backed Yes	49c	122.93$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.94	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2666…f155backed No	60c	120.09$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.46	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	39c	119.98$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.81	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc562…b5c9backed Yes	40c	118.44$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.9	80	21.3%17 W · 63 L	-4.1wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e53…5a39backed No	66c	117.51$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.84	144	11.1%16 W · 128 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01b7…766abacked Yes	43c	116.44$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccec…d388backed Yes	55c	109.48$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	+45.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ed…b5bcbacked No	46c	108.85$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.8	87	19.5%17 W · 70 L	+5.9wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x350a…7f47backed Yes	40c	106.86$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.95	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed No	53c	105.91$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.83	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in March 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event