TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf2c3…36ee

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Movies, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 59 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2450%12 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.2
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$20.15
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$10.81
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.82
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.68
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$14.69
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$8.46
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.6
US strikes Iraq by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$315.26
Will Marco Rubio visit Israel by March 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$26.8
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+108.3%+$103.98
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19.7
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$350.11
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+35.1%+$25.99
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$38
Will Israel strike 1 country in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$152
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$225.57
Will Donald Trump say "Nuclear" during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+90.5%+$19
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$995Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$994.73
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$758Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+1,086.8%+$8,240.47
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+208.2%+$32.63
All 24 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-74.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+28.9%+$47.04
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18.8
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$159.03
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$534Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$533.96
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$21.87
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+25.1%+$16.04
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$21.24
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.45
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$122.5
Brazil leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$44.97
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+75.3%+$88.05
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Will Seguro win Portugal's Overseas Vote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+37%+$13.5
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+31.4%+$47.8
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+42.9%+$30
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$192.2
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$652Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+116.1%+$756.72
All 8 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.47per pick33cpaid+151.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-46.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$64
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+29.9%+$23
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$59.87
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+31.6%+$24
All 4 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DRX Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3)backed KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+37%+$27
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+37%+$41.85
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$11
All 3 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-52.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+29%+$4.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump executive action ending payments to Colombia by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.