TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Ducks vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ducksof Ducks, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$758,693
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$765,937

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $758,693 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 468 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6b4…a278backed Rangers52c250,000$130,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130,00010349.5%51 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Ducks48c203,427$97,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105,782.23053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Rangers51c134,642$68,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,631.9588151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ff…e56abacked Rangers53c96,414$51,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,099.165749.1%28 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9165…5b98backed Ducks49c69,148$33,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,265.5811955.5%66 W · 53 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Ducks47c66,857$31,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,333.1638748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Ducks48c60,000$28,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,023.8142552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Ducks49c40,000$19,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,40019555.4%108 W · 87 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff7a…4c4cbacked Rangers51c27,812$14,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,184.284247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Ducks47c18,697$8,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,897.881,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Ducks49c14,462$7,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,377.5248549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Rangers52c11,375$5,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,969.521,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Ducks48c11,215$5,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,829.461,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60d0…2e36backed Rangers53c10,507$5,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,568.851752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Ducks47c10,104$4,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,354.956649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Ducks49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,10012245.9%56 W · 66 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Rangers51c9,000$4,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,59051045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Ducks47c8,767$4,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,626.9630152.5%158 W · 143 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Ducks48c8,000$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,16014940.9%61 W · 88 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Rangers54c7,555$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,079.72343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Rangers53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,649.9727548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Rangers51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,549.9231654.7%173 W · 143 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Ducks46c4,995$2,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,697.2970547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Rangers54c4,581$2,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,458.191,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Rangers54c4,578$2,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,471.911,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Ducks50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00024945.4%113 W · 136 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Ducks69c3,842$2,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.281,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Ducks48c3,796$1,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,974.052,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Ducks48c3,786$1,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,968.8316241.4%67 W · 95 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Ducks48c3,329$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,730.9252050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Ducks48c3,000$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,55014945%67 W · 82 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd7ba…3061backed Ducks49c2,969$1,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.061250%6 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Ducks48c2,928$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.1526946.1%124 W · 145 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Ducks63c2,782$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.3595049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked Rangers52c2,773$1,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,432.313743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Ducks47c2,500$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32522150.2%111 W · 110 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9397…ceb4backed Rangers52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.972352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Rangers52c2,400$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2487546.7%35 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Rangers39c2,397$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.962,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Ducks48c2,100$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.7992848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed Ducks47c2,095$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.356443.8%28 W · 36 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Ducks48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.1628652.4%150 W · 136 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Rangers36c2,069$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.2429926.4%79 W · 220 L-20.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-35.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Rangers54c2,003$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.5683652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Rangers50c2,001$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.6779350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Rangers52c2,000$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.981,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Rangers51c1,995$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.21,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Rangers1c1,888$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.887450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Ducks48c1,845$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.0724349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rangers36c1,826$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.221,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Rangers55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00047256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Ducks48c1,770$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.41,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51e1…c98abacked Rangers48c1,607$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.31825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-46.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3ad…45f9backed Rangers54c1,574$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8503735.1%13 W · 24 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-30%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Ducks48c1,571$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.9969550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Ducks50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75043743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Rangers52c1,500$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.9968449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Rangers18c1,380$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.382043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Ducks49c1,250$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.524845.2%112 W · 136 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Ducks54c1,249$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.4710565.7%69 W · 36 L+15.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+35.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x1b8b…15babacked Rangers50c1,213$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.455549.1%27 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ducks48c1,070$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.261,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Rangers1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Rangers52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52022946.3%106 W · 123 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Ducks50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50031848.1%153 W · 165 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Ducks50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50025446.5%118 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Ducks48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52038046.6%177 W · 203 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Ducks48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52039047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Ducks45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55063249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc449…2239backed Rangers52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010255.9%57 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2838…fdd3backed Rangers25c961.32$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.784425%11 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Ducks48c959.28$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.821,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4335…4399backed Ducks52c942.67$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.22536%9 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d35…0486backed Rangers55c927.27$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa27a…6408backed Ducks46c913.04$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.043100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Rangers51c906$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.0624654.5%134 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Ducks45c899.92$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.9620144.8%90 W · 111 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefb4…b36bbacked Ducks47c894.87$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.281338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce29…9147backed Rangers54c894.44$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4832458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d14…f53bbacked Ducks46c871.91$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e23…3075backed Rangers55c834.55$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe67…afaebacked Ducks46c832.37$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7634…1b96backed Rangers51c818.23$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.4820047.5%95 W · 105 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e12…5eafbacked Rangers55c816.36$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0b5…98f1backed Rangers55c809.09$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01d5…9571backed Rangers55c807.27$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x010c…d167backed Rangers55c805.45$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d54…68c6backed Ducks46c805.2$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Ducks65c802.28$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.2811162.2%69 W · 42 L+0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5186…5b40backed Ducks46c791.9$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Ducks68c775.65$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.643,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54e9…ca8cbacked Ducks46c771.35$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cb4…48e3backed Rangers35c711.86$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504546.7%21 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x290f…7e47backed Rangers54c673.43$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.654652.2%24 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Rangers50c664.9$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.420552.2%107 W · 98 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Rangers53c655.83$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.162249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Rangers51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3064953.1%26 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Ducks45c587.99$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.41,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Ducks48c583$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.1672847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Rangers54c526.22$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.1697651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.