TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9397…ceb4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
39
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: La Liga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 53 out of 100; worst NFL at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Avalanchebacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Penguins vs. Blackhawksbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,360Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+69.5%+$1,640
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$860Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$860
Islanders vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,240Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+78.6%+$1,760
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$588Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$588.42
Blackhawks vs. Starsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+316.7%+$1,402.92
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,380Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+117.4%+$1,620
Kraken vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,830Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$1,830
Canucks vs. Bruinsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,170Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+156.4%+$1,830
Maple Leafs vs. Predatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$1,500
Penguins vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,650Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+81.8%+$1,350
Blues vs. Panthersbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+170.3%+$1,890
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,320Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+127.3%+$1,680
Stars vs. Sharksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,950Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+53.8%+$1,049.82
Flyers vs. Sabresbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,290Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$1,290
Capitals vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,530Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+96.1%+$1,470
Islanders vs. Red Wingsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$1,350
Flyers vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,590Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$1,590
Senators vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$451.11
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$1,350
Ducks vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$1,299.97
Utah vs. Penguinsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,026Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+85.2%+$874
Kraken vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,701Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+58.7%+$999
All 23 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+44.9%+$1,859.99
Seahawks vs. Panthersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,220Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+35.1%+$780
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$2,080
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,720Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+47.1%+$1,280
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$1,110
Vikings vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,725Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$1,724.96
All 6 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,420Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+40.8%+$580
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,840Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+117.4%+$2,160
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$630
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+51.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$880
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+25%+$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New Mexico vs. Minnesotabacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,560Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+92.3%+$1,440
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.