NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Utah
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb3486ea67776153efc306d2384f4ef9bc38b9bb10f80807ce595e8c2967ba2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utahof Kraken, Utah
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $948,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $974,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $948,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x869b…c625backed Utah | 64c | 164,587$104,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,597.2 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Kraken | 36c | 60,763$21,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,874.61 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Kraken | 35c | 60,018$20,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,766.52 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kraken | 37c | 33,745$12,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,485.89 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Utah | 63c | 30,000$18,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,099.97 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Kraken | 41c | 21,310$8,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,731.56 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Utah | 62c | 20,000$12,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,600 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Utah | 71c | 17,309$12,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,010.14 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Kraken | 22c | 13,907$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Utah | 75c | 11,144$8,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,817.71 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…99a7backed Kraken | 37c | 10,810$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.7 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c81…e258backed Utah | 64c | 10,630$6,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,826.79 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Utah | 64c | 10,377$6,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,736.35 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…fffebacked Kraken | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Kraken | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.89 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Kraken | 60c | 8,250$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Kraken | 41c | 7,354$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Kraken | 19c | 7,000$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Utah | 60c | 6,639$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.55 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Kraken | 20c | 6,414$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.23 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Kraken | 37c | 6,000$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Utah | 59c | 5,555$3,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.57 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Kraken | 36c | 5,401$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.36 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Kraken | 38c | 4,995$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898.07 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Utah | 48c | 4,914$2,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,544.73 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6853…d2b8backed Utah | 62c | 4,644$2,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f4…d41dbacked Kraken | 38c | 4,639$1,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…16f9backed Kraken | 36c | 4,167$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Kraken | 36c | 4,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…fce3backed Utah | 75c | 4,000$2,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Kraken | 37c | 3,708$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Kraken | 13c | 3,613$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.32 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Kraken | 36c | 3,471$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.56 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Kraken | 36c | 3,333$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.88 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Utah | 61c | 3,195$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.98 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Kraken | 38c | 3,163$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Utah | 41c | 3,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e7…6c34backed Kraken | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9397…ceb4backed Utah | 63c | 2,700$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Kraken | 36c | 2,649$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.56 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Kraken | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kraken | 20c | 2,427$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.53 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Utah | 67c | 2,390$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.95 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Utah | 80c | 2,222$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.4 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Kraken | 39c | 2,206$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b86…d40abacked Kraken | 39c | 2,200$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Utah | 42c | 2,073$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.61 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Utah | 60c | 2,058$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.2 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kraken | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…ff3cbacked Kraken | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c84…1489backed Utah | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb501…8d53backed Kraken | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7918…6753backed Utah | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Utah | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.98 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbc…8aaebacked Kraken | 39c | 1,990$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.1 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c3…4755backed Utah | 61c | 1,990$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.1 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…b4c8backed Utah | 61c | 1,990$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…7276backed Kraken | 39c | 1,990$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…37fcbacked Kraken | 39c | 1,980$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8175…6b35backed Utah | 61c | 1,980$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac79…1e4ebacked Kraken | 39c | 1,980$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.2 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9faf…4554backed Utah | 61c | 1,980$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e84…905fbacked Kraken | 39c | 1,980$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ff…6218backed Utah | 61c | 1,980$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f97…041abacked Utah | 61c | 1,970$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…11c4backed Kraken | 39c | 1,970$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.3 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2616…bb21backed Utah | 61c | 1,960$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.4 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…0810backed Utah | 61c | 1,960$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…0fcdbacked Kraken | 39c | 1,960$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5014…c0b8backed Kraken | 39c | 1,960$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb07…4bedbacked Kraken | 39c | 1,950$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc3…b62abacked Kraken | 39c | 1,950$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe05…422dbacked Utah | 61c | 1,950$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x385a…9a11backed Utah | 61c | 1,950$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c9…af64backed Utah | 61c | 1,950$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3996…3596backed Kraken | 39c | 1,950$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9502…b432backed Kraken | 39c | 1,940$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.6 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c2…b4e4backed Utah | 61c | 1,940$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4daf…2617backed Utah | 61c | 1,940$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd974…bac4backed Kraken | 39c | 1,940$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8554…5074backed Utah | 61c | 1,940$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…a10fbacked Kraken | 39c | 1,940$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.6 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d78…08b1backed Utah | 61c | 1,930$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9f…a03fbacked Utah | 61c | 1,930$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…6e95backed Kraken | 39c | 1,930$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…5492backed Kraken | 39c | 1,930$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cca…04bfbacked Utah | 61c | 1,920$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x360c…056ebacked Utah | 61c | 1,920$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…a1d5backed Utah | 61c | 1,920$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9e…a936backed Kraken | 39c | 1,920$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.8 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ca…6c8dbacked Kraken | 39c | 1,920$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa039…fa2dbacked Kraken | 39c | 1,920$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Kraken | 36c | 1,915$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.11 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2224…708cbacked Kraken | 39c | 1,910$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23b3…306dbacked Utah | 61c | 1,910$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.9 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecf3…e35cbacked Utah | 61c | 1,910$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x545f…6dfebacked Utah | 61c | 1,910$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.9 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a0…2578backed Kraken | 39c | 1,910$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85fd…b994backed Kraken | 39c | 1,910$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.9 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cda…381bbacked Utah | 61c | 1,900$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kraken vs. Utahthis page
- Kraken vs. Utah: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kraken vs. Utah: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Utah won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.