NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Utah: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a28debfa4a70b291308d652466f56755d2e27c0f88e509eae684461b41132ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,758
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,758 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,499.96 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 51c | 18,451$9,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,040.95 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Under | 1c | 12,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 51c | 6,263$3,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,072.65 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 51c | 5,666$2,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,776.17 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Under | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.96 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 4,656$2,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,268.61 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 4,500$2,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,235.85 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Over | 51c | 3,836$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.64 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Under | 3c | 3,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 51c | 2,050$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.5 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Over | 51c | 2,040$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.6 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.46 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 52c | 1,400$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f6…15fbbacked Under | 51c | 1,391$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.51 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Under | 47c | 1,154$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.96 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…8b56backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 50c | 964$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 51c | 888$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.12 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Over | 51c | 805$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.45 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 51c | 784$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.16 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Over | 53c | 665.23$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.66 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 50c | 603.92$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 48c | 444$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.12 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Over | 30c | 427.71$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.28 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 38c | 401.04$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.39 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 140 | 65.7%92 W · 48 L | +13.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Over | 26c | 377.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.8 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 51c | 296$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.04 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 160 | 56.3%90 W · 70 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 49c | 227.46$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.58 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 51c | 208.5$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.76 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 48c | 196.54$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.25 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b7d4backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 225 | 43.1%97 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Under | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 71c | 136.28$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.08 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63e4…88d4backed Over | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d3…bef7backed Under | 49c | 115$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 51c | 110$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…4c6dbacked Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f2…1415backed Under | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e9…5e83backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea5a…058abacked Over | 51c | 94.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.18 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 51c | 86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.14 | 285 | 42.8%122 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 51c | 78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9242…60babacked Under | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 51c | 73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.02 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Under | 70c | 72.86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 51c | 68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Over | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f3…ae84backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…a31cbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…7db3backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 51c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 51c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 291 | 47.4%138 W · 153 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 51c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 216 | 48.1%104 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Over | 51c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 51c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 51c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 51c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 51c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 190 | 46.8%89 W · 101 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 51c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 51c | 52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 51c | 52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked Over | 51c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Over | 51c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Over | 62c | 50.28$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +13.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Under | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 178 | 41%73 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Under | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 273 | 34.4%94 W · 179 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…6c6cbacked Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2aecbacked Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 50c | 47.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 490 | 53.7%263 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 48c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a9f7backed Over | 51c | 38.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Over | 51c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 175 | 52%91 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…9aa5backed Over | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 51c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 271 | 48.7%132 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…f988backed Over | 51c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bd…4f40backed Under | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…7ac4backed Under | 49c | 30.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kraken vs. Utah: O/U 5.5this page
- Kraken vs. UtahUtah won
- Kraken vs. Utah: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Utah won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.