TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9242…60ba

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
177
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst NFL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST4560%27 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+47.1%+$16
Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$36
Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.2
Timberwolves vs. Hawks: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+81.8%+$20.25
Rockets vs. Clippersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$102.44
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$70.4
Knicks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+42.9%+$18
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+100%+$32.5
Raptors vs. Heatbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+28.2%+$6.41
Pelicans vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+29%+$15.75
Nets vs. 76ersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+33.3%+$24.19
Pistons vs. Trail Blazersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+33.3%+$18.75
Magic vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+53.8%+$21
Spread: Rockets (-12.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$61.6
Bucks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+100%+$50
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+108.3%+$26
Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+96.1%+$36.79
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$22.95
Spurs vs. Wizards: O/U 240.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$41.8
Heat vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.25
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+71.6%+$120.98
Spurs vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 122.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
Bulls vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$61
Magic vs. Jazzbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+35.1%+$26
Pistons vs. Mavericksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$95.65
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Lightning vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$46.8
Bruins vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$47.25
Utah vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+47.1%+$17.55
Stars vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+66.7%+$24
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$25.65
Capitals vs. Red Wingsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$47
Senators vs. Jetsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+112.8%+$15.9
Utah vs. Penguinsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+85.2%+$32.2
Kraken vs. Utah: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Sharks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$123.25
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Panthers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$37.5
Red Wings vs. Flames: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$25.2
Rangers vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+132.6%+$42.75
Sabres vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+81.8%+$33.75
Bruins vs. Bluesbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+58.7%+$55.5
Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanesbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$48.8
Ducks vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+81.8%+$31.5
Devils vs. Senatorsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+132%+$76.8
Wild vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+88.7%+$47
Red Wings vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Kings vs. Utahbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$49
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1952.6%10 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.4
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+43.8%+$23.13
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$44
AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+177.8%+$44.8
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$39.1
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$48
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+156.4%+$50.3
Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$67.5
Will Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+25%+$20
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15.5
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+37%+$40.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$19.5
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$40.5
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15.5
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed West Ham United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$46.5
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$73
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Southampton FC win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+56.3%+$18
All 19 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1560%9 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+72.4%+$31.5
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$18.55
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$101.5
Will CA Osasuna vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+222.6%+$72.45
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+104.1%+$63.75
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20.93
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+30.2%+$29.42
Will Granada CF win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$74.5
Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+127.3%+$28
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+40.8%+$29
Will Getafe CF win on 2025-12-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+72.4%+$31.5
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+36.4%+$41.4
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+51.5%+$17
All 15 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST1540%6 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-33.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Colts: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$104.16
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$18.37
Vikings vs. Giants: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$32.2
Vikings vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$35.7
Jets vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+37%+$33.75
Chiefs vs. Titans: O/U 37.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+104.1%+$51
Bengals vs. Dolphinsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+56.3%+$36
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+96.1%+$98
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+54.8%+$76.1
Lions vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+42.9%+$18
Panthers vs. Saintsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$71.7
Spread: Seahawks (-13.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$91.98
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$70.1
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$68.4
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+28%+$76.5
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+29.9%+$25.29
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$97.75
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+277.4%+$147
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$23.8
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+38.9%+$16.8
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+106.2%+$103
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+78.6%+$22
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+35.4%+$31.4
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$43.14
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+53.8%+$26.25
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+35.1%+$13
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+81.8%+$22.5
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles vs. Little Rock Trojansbacked Little Rock Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$29.39
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Wake Forest Demon Deaconsbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+40.8%+$21.75
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs. San Diego Torerosbacked San Diego Toreros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+49.3%+$24.75
Green Bay Phoenix vs. IU Indy Jaguarsbacked IU Indy Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$34.2
Boston College Eagles vs. Massachusetts Minutemenbacked Boston College Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodonsbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+57.7%+$18.29
Idaho Vandals vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irishbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+32.6%+$12.3
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Rhode Island Ramsbacked Rhode Island Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Howard Bison vs. North Carolina A&T Aggiesbacked Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+117.4%+$81
Bucknell Bison vs. Rider Broncsbacked Rider Broncs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$44
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Lausanne-Sport win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$37.5
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+61.5%+$29.5
Will RKS Raków Częstochowa win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+56.3%+$27
Will FC Porto win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+25%+$7
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+29.9%+$17.25
Will Celtic FC win on 2025-12-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+40.8%+$21.75
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2025-12-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$31.2
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2025-12-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$44.25
Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2025-12-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+49.3%+$16.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+119.3%+$68
OGC Nice vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+28.2%+$11
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.