La Liga · resolved market
Will Granada CF win on 2025-12-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac4b8128842e57f21eed88fe3fbda246886d1d7d9c8fe365119ef35db601e75b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 43c | 52,500$22,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,100 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 49c | 34,061$16,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,689.76 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 54c | 28,242$15,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,032.15 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 47c | 21,292$9,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,956.32 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 74c | 13,907$10,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,291.02 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,059.99 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 49c | 5,993$2,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,936.48 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 48c | 2,639$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.51 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 51c | 2,353$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.94 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 41c | 1,767$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.3 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 57c | 1,237$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.11 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Yes | 47c | 793.62$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 47c | 745.78$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.66 | 95 | 28.4%27 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfce…b388backed Yes | 47c | 638.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 46c | 500.24$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.44 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…8880backed Yes | 20c | 500$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc904…1e9abacked Yes | 19c | 403$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 65c | 359.63$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.93 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 46c | 322.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.81 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 49c | 263.27$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 47c | 211.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Yes | 50c | 200.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Yes | 32c | 196.85$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.13 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed No | 54c | 160$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Yes | 46c | 147.1$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.67 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 47c | 140.31$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.36 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…139ebacked No | 53c | 138.24$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.91 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…ea96backed Yes | 50c | 126.53$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.78 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 52c | 126.42$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.68 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9242…60babacked Yes | 60c | 125$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 46c | 118.05$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 47c | 113$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 48c | 110$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Yes | 47c | 107.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…cf61backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2be…963fbacked Yes | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Yes | 49c | 74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 50c | 65.19$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 52c | 54.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 51c | 51.48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Yes | 36c | 50.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe406…4cc1backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Yes | 77c | 37.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 33c | 35.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…c85dbacked Yes | 50c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 44c | 32.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 40c | 32.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 60c | 31.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 237 | 62.9%149 W · 88 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 40c | 28.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Yes | 48c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac2…f35fbacked Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf85…acc4backed Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Yes | 49c | 24.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 64c | 23.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 46c | 23.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e3…b595backed Yes | 51c | 22.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 50c | 20.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd861…931abacked Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 52c | 19.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4d…bd49backed No | 59c | 18.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed No | 64c | 16.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Granada CF win on 2025-12-21?this page
- Will Albacete Balompié win on 2025-12-21?No won
- Will Granada CF vs. Albacete Balompié end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.