La Liga · resolved market
Will Granada CF vs. Albacete Balompié end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7c3fbc1e5b7a30834d364b4485ca519c7fc44888a650b0ea81e866d88cd1992
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,804
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,759
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,804 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 28c | 1,599$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.28 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 26c | 1,567$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.28 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 72c | 1,287$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.77 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 51c | 517.7$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.65 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 71c | 496.4$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.44 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 28c | 411.06$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.96 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked No | 71c | 298.45$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.9 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 29c | 256$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.76 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee9…69a0backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Yes | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 151.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.19 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Yes | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 71c | 118$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.78 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 109.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 19c | 103.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.53 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 28c | 87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.75 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2be…963fbacked Yes | 29c | 80$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Yes | 29c | 61.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.64 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 28c | 55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 29c | 49.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 29c | 48.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.81 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cd…453cbacked Yes | 76c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…27e7backed Yes | 50c | 39.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +133.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Yes | 28c | 38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Yes | 62c | 30.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed No | 72c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked No | 72c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 70c | 16.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2117backed No | 72c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Granada CF vs. Albacete Balompié end in a draw?this page
- Will Albacete Balompié win on 2025-12-21?No won
- Will Granada CF win on 2025-12-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.