La Liga · resolved market
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2025-12-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc9cef8ff7c7dcdb6c5da2e68b1a049cf1c7f3eb9c58c5689c330cc1f86a3a72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 26c | 71,354$18,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,365.79 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 48,038$36,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,028.12 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 76c | 15,599$11,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,690.97 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 69c | 1,707$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.09 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…139ebacked Yes | 23c | 970.07$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 76c | 789$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.36 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee9…69a0backed Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfce…b388backed No | 75c | 397.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed No | 63c | 347.2$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.17 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 73c | 305$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.45 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 22c | 291.97$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.23 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e83…4bd3backed No | 76c | 286.84$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.84 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 20c | 277$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.55 | 138 | 24.6%34 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 275$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 52c | 270.36$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.3 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 21c | 263.7$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.34 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 74c | 247.91$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.46 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed No | 77c | 237.42$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 76c | 198$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.71 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed No | 73c | 162.26$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 74c | 155.53$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d71…87d5backed No | 79c | 140$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…055dbacked No | 75c | 138.28$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Yes | 24c | 130.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9242…60babacked No | 77c | 126.74$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 76c | 101$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…8880backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked No | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6886…7db9backed No | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2be…963fbacked Yes | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 73c | 69.31$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 23c | 61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 285 | 58.2%166 W · 119 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…c85dbacked No | 78c | 58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…c865backed No | 72c | 53.48$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8be0…6d2abacked Yes | 23c | 52.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Yes | 23c | 46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd06…cb1cbacked Yes | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdddb…d6a4backed No | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 73c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 45c | 26.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7d…d9dfbacked No | 76c | 25.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 74c | 19.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…06aabacked No | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +56%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 202 | 52.5%106 W · 96 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…9b17backed No | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked No | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 79c | 12.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.67 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Albacete Balompié win on 2025-12-21?this page
- Will Granada CF vs. Albacete Balompié end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Granada CF win on 2025-12-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.