TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeb7d…d9df

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Music, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Music at 52 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST2157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+25.8%+$20.5
Jazz vs. Hawksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$80.52
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+66%+$40.17
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+44.9%+$5.19
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$18.89
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$15.8
Wizards vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+44.9%+$7.62
Pistons vs. Trail Blazersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+51.5%+$7.97
Magic vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+61.3%+$7.13
Pistons vs. Mavericksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$30.99
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+38.9%+$12.76
Magic vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+38.9%+$12.76
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+47.6%+$60.01
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$16.17
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$25.6
Magic vs. Sunsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST+56.3%+$21.6
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST-100%-$36.6
76ers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2024, EST+47.1%+$19.2
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2024, EST-100%-$37.8
Suns vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST+40.8%+$30.63
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+53.8%+$54.5
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$14.51
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15.14
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+47.1%+$7.5
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$14.53
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+33.3%+$26.4
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$19.28
Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$131.35
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+37%+$5.38
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5.38
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$36.76
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+51.5%+$6.42
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+61.3%+$7.73
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$136.29
Will Cardiff City FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+37%+$35.67
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+43%+$36.57
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+52.8%+$7.23
All 17 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-32.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Levante UD win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+25.1%+$16.89
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$156.64
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+29.2%+$44.51
Will Cádiz CF win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$18.33
Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15.82
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+31.2%+$5.98
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$71.64
Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4.59
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2025-12-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Sevilla FC win on 2025-12-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+50.8%+$59.43
Will Elche CF win on 2025-12-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$76.67
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+42.2%+$15.03
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+33.3%+$4.24
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+42.9%+$7.03
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$18.83
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$16.07
Jets vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+44.5%+$51.42
Buccaneers vs. Panthersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$19.42
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+104.8%+$178.58
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+57.4%+$38
Dolphins vs. Steelers: O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$50.57
Seahawks vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$53
Cardinals vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+56.3%+$41.75
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick11cpaid-12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+163.2%+$17.11
LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$17.26
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$21.08
All 3 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Volendam win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$24.16
Will FC Volendam vs. Sparta Rotterdam end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tigers vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.5
Orioles vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$37.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$18.34
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$66.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$200
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R Housebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$181.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Howard Bison vs. Drexel Dragonsbacked Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+29.5%+$55.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$31
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Troy vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Troy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$163.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BC Dubai vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked BC Dubai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$15.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nova Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$17.34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.