TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Jets vs. Saints

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Saintsof Jets, Saints
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,048,038
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,015,713

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,048,038 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 654 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbda3…cab2backed Jets27c278,304$75,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75,522.11650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+54.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Saints72c140,000$100,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,199.9811168.5%76 W · 35 L+18.5wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+34.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Saints73c120,220$87,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,459.446459.4%38 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+38.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Jets27c110,000$29,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,7005850%29 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Jets28c100,000$28,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,00016836.9%62 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Saints73c94,157$68,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,540.6519152.9%101 W · 90 L+0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Saints73c48,376$35,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,095.2853253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Saints73c45,000$32,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,15011146.8%52 W · 59 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Jets28c39,260$10,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,992.7919553.8%105 W · 90 L+16.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Jets28c36,000$10,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,079.9714342%60 W · 83 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Saints72c35,900$25,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0526764.2%43 W · 24 L+9.7wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+35.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Saints72c33,291$23,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,411.3531854.7%174 W · 144 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e02…817ebacked Jets28c30,356$8,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,499.572227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Saints72c29,541$21,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,136.4673651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Jets27c20,147$5,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,499.0130043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Saints73c20,077$14,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,492.3875852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa25…05e8backed Jets34c14,607$5,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,010.772948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Saints72c14,605$10,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,112.441,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Saints73c14,301$10,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,861.9256852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Jets28c12,000$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,36019645.4%89 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Jets27c12,000$3,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,239.999442.6%40 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked Saints72c10,950$7,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0662965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+30.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Jets7c10,035$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.4316955%93 W · 76 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Saints73c10,000$7,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,70013560%81 W · 54 L+14.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Jets29c9,657$2,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,827.1511643.1%50 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Saints73c8,970$6,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,421.811750.4%59 W · 58 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Saints69c8,224$5,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,580.2286547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Saints72c7,210$5,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,018.812744.9%57 W · 70 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Jets31c7,181$2,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.1721254.2%115 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Saints66c7,174$4,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,408.727348.7%133 W · 140 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Jets28c7,143$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005149%25 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Jets1c6,700$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.651421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.27per pick48cpaid-64.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Jets26c6,500$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6908551.8%44 W · 41 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Jets0c6,480$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.33980%0 W · 98 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x357e…2a0cbacked Jets28c5,750$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6104944.9%22 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Jets27c5,450$1,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,471.58343.4%36 W · 47 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Jets27c5,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3502653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Jets27c5,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35035848.6%174 W · 184 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Jets28c4,500$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26026547.2%125 W · 140 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Saints72c3,783$2,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.686250%31 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1e0…8913backed Saints72c3,531$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.774957.1%28 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Jets8c3,528$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.1468446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Jets28c3,404$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.2114951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Saints73c3,359$2,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.8531848.1%153 W · 165 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ad…1ebbbacked Saints72c3,200$2,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28b1…5a3fbacked Saints72c3,192$2,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.839359.1%55 W · 38 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ab…ded1backed Jets33c3,030$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002556%14 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ea8…ddc0backed Saints72c3,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+75.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Saints75c2,882$2,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.8920026%52 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae24…07c2backed Jets25c2,615$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.653941%16 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe85…e229backed Jets34c2,442$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.28633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68db…e12bbacked Saints71c2,400$1,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.9913435.8%48 W · 86 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Jets1c2,222$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.224311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Jets1c2,133$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.521969.2%18 W · 178 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-67.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe529…2156backed Jets28c2,100$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b8c…9390backed Jets28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5607558.7%44 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Saints73c2,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5405362.3%33 W · 20 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Saints72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5603452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Saints73c2,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54010156.4%57 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Jets30c1,911$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.3132050.9%163 W · 157 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3bd…1d7bbacked Jets34c1,849$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.66616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-67.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe3e0…204fbacked Jets34c1,844$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.96560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Jets28c1,750$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4907041.4%29 W · 41 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd039…2532backed Jets27c1,750$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4807732.5%25 W · 52 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x05df…be79backed Jets34c1,663$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e58…3864backed Saints72c1,610$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.75955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb82…cd96backed Jets34c1,588$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.92742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f92…1862backed Jets28c1,554$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4352821.4%6 W · 22 L-6.5wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-50%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x7a3d…daedbacked Jets34c1,523$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.82966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+53.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe22a…bc07backed Jets34c1,518$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.12728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d8d…d04fbacked Jets34c1,508$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.72742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Jets27c1,500$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4057530.7%23 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e58…800abacked Jets34c1,488$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.92425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa058…9fc0backed Saints66c1,468$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.12450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81c2…cb74backed Saints66c1,442$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.28475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+30%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9954…a753backed Saints66c1,435$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.9650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x802b…533cbacked Jets29c1,422$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.2630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cb4…8d20backed Jets34c1,407$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.38540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3061…607ebacked Saints72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.89666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x544e…2d9fbacked Saints72c1,376$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.462560%15 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf0f…9bbabacked Saints66c1,375$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.5580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+85%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x80dd…d677backed Jets29c1,372$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+58.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3852…f0bbbacked Saints72c1,370$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bae…5cbdbacked Jets34c1,351$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.34560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x137c…3d59backed Jets34c1,304$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.36742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6f5…405abacked Jets34c1,288$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.92425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9586…554abacked Saints66c1,271$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.14560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4efe…d38ebacked Jets34c1,267$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.78450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00e3…2bd9backed Saints66c1,258$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.72540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf87…3337backed Saints66c1,254$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick69cpaid+46.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0723…8695backed Jets34c1,242$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.2840%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc189…f715backed Jets34c1,232$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.88450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd444…1bd3backed Saints66c1,231$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.54475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+30%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Jets25c1,228$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30731543.2%136 W · 179 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Saints68c1,212$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.3424054.6%131 W · 109 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaedc…ec9ebacked Jets34c1,206$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.04520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-51.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2a4…8156backed Jets34c1,200$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Saints65c1,200$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42013959%82 W · 57 L+12.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa0d0…e4d1backed Jets34c1,195$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.3616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick53cpaid-77.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x590c…039fbacked Saints66c1,164$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.76666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+52.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.