TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$848,609
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$846,146

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $848,609 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 770 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed No73c30,295$22,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,179.5421853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec7…4f48backed Yes28c18,040$5,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,1305628.6%16 W · 40 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes26c14,407$3,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,801.713748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed No71c7,752$5,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,248.065754.4%31 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddc8…d895backed Yes25c6,852$1,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,713616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-78.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x215e…281bbacked Yes25c6,566$1,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,641.5850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Yes27c6,374$1,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7219636.5%35 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf99b…22c4backed Yes25c6,335$1,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,583.75757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+26%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df8…26d1backed Yes25c5,077$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,269.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82da…3e82backed Yes25c5,044$1,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes26c5,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.949845.9%45 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01af…5adcbacked Yes25c4,980$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,245757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd61c…1e8cbacked Yes25c4,825$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.25580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+85.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc70a…4f26backed Yes25c4,696$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c1f…72c5backed No75c4,597$3,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0f…9bbabacked Yes25c4,382$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c9b…7511backed Yes25c4,347$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.75850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9d1…7e48backed Yes25c4,168$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e7…471cbacked Yes25c4,082$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-67.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b88…6e41backed Yes25c4,019$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dff…b486backed Yes25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No73c3,939$2,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.0990751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…8e7fbacked Yes25c3,747$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a26…96a1backed Yes25c3,575$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd444…1bd3backed No75c3,548$2,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8871100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf449…1c52backed Yes25c3,510$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-33.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08f7…1cbcbacked Yes25c3,372$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b3…b7c0backed No75c3,256$2,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcced…4314backed Yes25c3,175$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa641…3047backed No75c3,168$2,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09a0…2d96backed Yes25c3,147$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05df…be79backed No75c3,011$2,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a1f…d0bbbacked Yes27c3,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8102832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1442…f3cbbacked Yes25c3,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes27c2,985$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.271,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8d4…202bbacked Yes25c2,926$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56d8…79ccbacked No75c2,920$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7301100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8e…27ffbacked Yes5c2,908$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.924637%17 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x221b…d798backed Yes25c2,908$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf87…3337backed No75c2,898$2,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc5e…e57bbacked No75c2,843$2,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac82…1234backed No75c2,841$2,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd71a…9498backed No72c2,799$2,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.712552%13 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6589…77c5backed Yes25c2,765$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.25650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x80a3…3709backed Yes25c2,752$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0940…543ebacked Yes25c2,736$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf135…b5d2backed Yes25c2,728$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea62…196cbacked No75c2,726$2,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2476…8b5bbacked No75c2,705$2,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe779…4df4backed No75c2,603$1,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb35…342abacked No75c2,603$1,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5125…f8e3backed No75c2,586$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x295e…7b3dbacked No75c2,562$1,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x528a…bcc6backed Yes25c2,539$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e20…0bd8backed No75c2,392$1,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa058…9fc0backed Yes25c2,383$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d6e…cfbcbacked No75c2,345$1,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.25580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac6a…1395backed No75c2,343$1,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa68…8beebacked No75c2,304$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e7…d969backed No75c2,290$1,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d48…edc9backed Yes25c2,290$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-35.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa3d…73dcbacked Yes25c2,262$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd82…211bbacked No75c2,209$1,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4447…35b9backed No75c2,177$1,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.25862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3590…4458backed Yes25c2,168$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54230%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe834…a2dfbacked No75c2,164$1,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5411100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea1d…d9f1backed Yes25c2,125$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.25966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x472b…8fa1backed No75c2,121$1,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.25771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+29.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…4035backed Yes25c2,095$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa041…6b8ebacked No75c2,063$1,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc219…3c8ebacked No75c2,058$1,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2a4…8156backed Yes25c2,031$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d32…03d6backed No75c2,026$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa97f…7d05backed Yes25c2,015$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e1a…0634backed Yes25c2,014$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5f…45c1backed Yes25c2,001$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed Yes28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5603435.3%12 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes26c1,997$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.2868942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5434…2ec4backed Yes25c1,988$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb01…42edbacked Yes25c1,980$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cdc…ade9backed Yes25c1,960$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-48.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x466d…bd6cbacked No75c1,943$1,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.75742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ad…e47ebacked No75c1,941$1,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ee…6eb4backed No75c1,931$1,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63d7…cc17backed No75c1,926$1,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0d0…e4d1backed No75c1,917$1,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.25366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x031f…faccbacked Yes25c1,902$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23ef…6e04backed Yes25c1,893$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4ce…b56cbacked Yes25c1,829$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51b9…2efbbacked Yes25c1,825$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b6…520dbacked Yes25c1,822$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.5650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa7c…ad46backed No75c1,817$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87c7…0f8dbacked Yes25c1,817$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90e…3bcbbacked Yes25c1,813$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.251040%4 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-40.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9707…a0ffbacked No75c1,793$1,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8c…3926backed No75c1,784$1,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd093…7b4ebacked No75c1,768$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4421100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75a2…08cbbacked Yes25c1,750$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba7d…c164backed Yes25c1,717$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0989…e55fbacked Yes25c1,711$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.