TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,957
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,554

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,957 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbec7…4f48backed Yes29c18,497$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,4005628.6%16 W · 40 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No74c4,649$3,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.692,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No71c4,000$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,18090751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No71c3,000$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87046651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50f0…29d2backed Yes27c1,950$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa349…9d14backed No73c1,950$1,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18b0…b5b9backed No73c1,841$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f7f…109fbacked Yes27c1,835$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa803…98b0backed No73c1,820$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf27…0ff6backed Yes27c1,806$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa3d…6a5abacked No73c1,726$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9d3…cc5fbacked Yes27c1,725$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes27c1,642$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.291,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe24…b1a2backed No73c1,640$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f9e…0179backed Yes27c1,638$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x614d…48d5backed Yes27c1,612$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59da…30e7backed No73c1,609$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x557b…f9a1backed No73c1,597$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52dd…76acbacked Yes27c1,595$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1d3…88eebacked No73c1,538$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf257…c9b9backed No73c1,519$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ed9…385abacked Yes27c1,519$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ebf…0f18backed Yes27c1,516$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9d1…9c40backed Yes27c1,472$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b46…3d26backed No73c1,428$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No69c1,337$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.112,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0df…8f41backed No64c1,259$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.357176.1%54 W · 17 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes29c1,227$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.811,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No70c1,214$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.2949254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed No61c1,013$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.119843.9%43 W · 55 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30051750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27025551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No71c775.84$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.8739156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No72c761.11$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.114564.4%29 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes27c726$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.0210956%61 W · 48 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005141.2%21 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes30c635.25$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.286,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…1a20backed Yes28c570$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid+20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes39c540.37$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.784,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes28c536$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.082646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked No72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1409246.7%43 W · 49 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed Yes27c370.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9827454%148 W · 126 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abb…452ebacked Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No70c357$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.142048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Yes18c330.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605825.9%15 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes31c321.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011343.4%49 W · 64 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8418551.9%96 W · 89 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked No73c282.09$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.349555.8%53 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-2.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked No72c276.84$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8417748%85 W · 92 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes28c270$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.625339.1%99 W · 154 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes19c258.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0125530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5865557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5860557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f56…3201backed Yes38c199.08$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6540%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No71c160$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.437557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No71c160$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.435157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes28c159.91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7740150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68c9…c73bbacked Yes28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No71c140.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.521,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8930050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c8d…673abacked No72c123$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.442552%13 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No71c120$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.837554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed No71c120$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.832656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015025.3%38 W · 112 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2832453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196850%34 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3877336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3841344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3014732%47 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked No72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2815350.3%77 W · 76 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24e4…6622backed Yes39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393132.3%10 W · 21 L-5.0wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-41.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x884d…1da6backed No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405261.5%32 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25ea…bb88backed No73c81$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No71c80$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.226158.2%152 W · 109 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No71c80$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.232255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No71c80$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.225456.3%143 W · 111 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf08c…8398backed Yes29c80$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No71c80$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.228255.7%157 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No71c80$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.232755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No71c80$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.238358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed No70c75$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.513844.9%62 W · 76 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked No67c75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7522764.8%147 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x95e9…30b1backed Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-22.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1170…8398backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d9f…0852backed No73c56.51$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.263372.7%24 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick74cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xae4a…726fbacked Yes29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1550%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.512647.6%60 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked Yes28c43.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.056350.8%32 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd41…42b3backed Yes28c43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked No71c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.629657.8%171 W · 125 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed No71c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.627758.8%163 W · 114 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e53…58e1backed No73c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.84170.7%29 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked No71c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.628359.4%168 W · 115 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No71c38.51$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0257744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83c8…d97dbacked Yes28c38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3b…5008backed Yes28c36.64$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes28c36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1068942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc52…fcc3backed No73c30.14$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1410100%10 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xea10…6ccdbacked Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x019c…e2c2backed No74c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick75cpaid-40.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.